Mexico vs South Africa – FIFA World Cup Statistics
11/06/2026
16:00
Estadio Banorte
Statistical Predictions
Estimates calculated from qualification and recent friendly data.
Estimated Result
Mexico
30%
Draw
35%
South Africa
35%
Expected Goals
Mexico
1.28
exp. goals
Total
2.23
Points to Under 2.5
South Africa
0.95
exp. goals
xG (Qualification)
Mexico
-
South Africa
1.35
Combined Over 2.5
30%
BTTS
48%
Clean Sheet
South Africa
50%
ℹ️
The comparison data below is from the 2026 World Cup qualifiers, as these teams have not yet played in this stage.
Home PPG
0.00
Points per Game
Away PPG
0.00
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
0.00
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
0.00
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
0.00
Expected Goals
South Africa
Results
8
Matches
4
1
Wins
0
4
Draws
3
3
Losses
1
0.88
Points per Game
0.75
Goals
7
Goals Scored
3
13
Goals Conceded
4
0.88
Avg Goals Scored
0.75
1.63
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
63%
Over 1.5 %
75%
50%
Over 2.5 %
25%
38%
Over 3.5 %
0%
38%
Clean Sheet %
25%
Performance
54.0%
Avg Possession %
68.0%
3.5
Avg Shots on Target
4.0
17
Total Corners
12
2.1
Avg Corners
3.0
19
Total Cards
4
2.4
Avg Cards
1.0
Total Matches
8
Mexico
Total Matches
4
South Africa
Total Goals
7
Home
Total Goals
3
Away
World Cup Qualification Performance
Mexico
No qualification data available
(direct qualification or league not imported)
South Africa
International WC Qualification Africa
W
6
D
3
L
1
GF:
17
·
GA:
6
·
GD:
+11
PPG
2.10
Win %
60%
Goals/game
1.70
Conc./game
0.60
xG For
1.35
xG Against
0.71
Possession
63.0%
Clean Sheet
50%
BTTS %
40%
Over 2.5 %
40%
Table position: #1
Recent Form — International Friendlies
Mexico
W
W
W
D
D
W
3
D
2
L
0
Goals/game
1.80
Conc./game
0.40
Over 2.5 %
20%
BTTS %
40%
04/06/2026
Mexico 5–1 Serbia
W
30/05/2026
Mexico 1–0 Australia
W
22/05/2026
Mexico 2–0 Ghana
W
31/03/2026
Mexico 1–1 Belgium
D
28/03/2026
Mexico 0–0 Portugal
D
South Africa
D
D
L
D
W
W
1
D
3
L
1
Goals/game
1.20
Conc./game
1.00
Over 2.5 %
40%
BTTS %
80%
06/06/2026
Jamaica 1–1 South Africa
D
29/05/2026
South Africa 0–0 Nicaragua
D
31/03/2026
South Africa 1–2 Panama
L
27/03/2026
South Africa 1–1 Panama
D
15/11/2025
South Africa 3–1 Zambia
W
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
Mexico vs South Africa — Betting preview for 2026 season, kickoff June 12. A concise read for the careful bettor.
Market edge: Mexico to win at 1.42 implies about a 70% chance by bookies. Draw 4.25, SA 8.69—lines reflect a clear host bias, but not a certainty.
Attack/defense profiles: Mexico show 1.52 xG for at home and 0.82 xG against, suggesting solid scoring and compact defending in familiar surroundings. South Africa away are potent, with 2.04 xG for and 0.84 against, indicating danger on the road.
Goal tendencies: Under 2.5 goals at 1.66 leans tighter, while Over 2.5 at 2.20 offers upside if both sides trade blows. Given the xG spread, a cautious under is plausible but not guaranteed.
Likeliest outcome: Mexico edge, likely 1-0 or 2-1. Hosts control tempo and press, while South Africa threaten on counter through transitional play.
In-play angle: Early pressure from Mexico could set the tone; if SA score first, expect a shift towards more open play and late goals as Mexico chase the winner.
BTTS angle: Yes is plausible—SA’s away scoring capability combined with Mexico’s attack potential suggests both sides can breach defenses.
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - Mexico
1
Julián Andrés Quiñones Quiñones
Forward
4
goals
2
Raúl Jiménez
Forward
3
goals
Top Scorers - South Africa
No data available
Head-to-Head
No head-to-head matches recorded this season.
South Africa
Match Statistics
61
Possession (%)
39
61%
39%
16
Shots
3
84%
16%
4
Shots on Target
2
67%
33%
12
Shots off Target
1
92%
8%
3
Corners
1
75%
25%
12
Fouls
11
52%
48%
1
Yellow Cards
2
33%
67%
1
Red Cards
2
33%
67%
1
Offsides
1
50%
50%
28
Dangerous Attacks
27
51%
49%
98
Attacks
69
59%
41%
Possession
61%
-
39%
Shots on Target
4
-
2
Corners
3
-
1
Total Cards
6
(3 yellows,
3 reds)