SD Eibar vs Málaga CF – Segunda División Statistics
BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
55%
Both teams to score
BTTS 1st Half
14%
Both to score in 1st half
BTTS 2nd Half
27%
Both to score in 2nd half
Goals - Over/Under
0.5 Goals
Over
92.0%
Under
8.0%
1.5 Goals
Over
73.0%
Under
27.0%
2.5 Goals
Over
60.0%
Under
41.0%
3.5 Goals
Over
19.0%
Under
81.0%
4.5 Goals
Over
8.0%
Under
92.0%
Goals by Half
Over 0.5 Goals 2H
81.0%
2nd half
Over 1.5 Goals 2H
49.0%
2nd half
Corners - Over/Under
Overall Corners Potential
9.6
expected corners
8.5 Corners
Over
52.0%
9.5 Corners
Over
44.0%
10.5 Corners
Over
33.0%
Cards - Over/Under
Overall Cards Potential
5.4
expected cards
Shots, Attacks & Offsides
Offsides Potential
3.8
expected offsides
Starting Line-ups
SD Eibar
2
Sergio Cubero Ezcurra
Defender
4
Aritz Arambarri Murua
Defender
6
Sergio Álvarez Díaz
Midfielder
9
Jon Bautista Orgilles
Forward
13
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia Blasco
Goalkeeper
14
Lander Olaetxea Ibaibarriaga
Midfielder
15
Jair Amador Silos
Defender
16
Ander Madariaga Susaeta
Midfielder
17
José Corpas Serna
Forward
18
Malcom Ares Djalo
Defender
23
Anaitz Arbilla Zabala
Defender
Málaga CF
1
Alfonso Herrero Peinador
Goalkeeper
3
Carlos Francisco Puga Medina
Defender
4
Einar Galilea Azaceta
Defender
9
Carlos Ruiz Rubio
Midfielder
10
David Larrubia Romano
Forward
11
Joaquín Muñoz Benavides
Forward
12
Carlos Dotor González
Midfielder
16
Diego Murillo Dominguez
Defender
23
Midfielder
31
Rafael Garrido Hierro
Midfielder
37
Rafael Rodríguez Ruiz
Midfielder
Substitutes
SD Eibar
1
Luis Federico López Andúgar
Goalkeeper
3
Hodei Arrillaga Elezgarai
Midfielder
5
Javier Martínez Calvo
Midfielder
11
Jon Magunazelaia Argoitia
Midfielder
19
Laureano Antonio Villa Suárez
Forward
20
22
24
27
Hugo García Jiménez
Midfielder
30
34
Oier Llorente Korta
Midfielder
Málaga CF
2
Jokin Gabilondo Garmendia
Defender
5
6
Ramón Enríquez Rodríguez
Midfielder
7
13
Carlos López Nogueras
Goalkeeper
14
Víctor García Marín
Defender
17
Eneko Jauregi Escobar
Forward
20
Francisco Javier Montero Rubio
Defender
21
Adrián Niño Heredia
Forward
24
Julen Lobete Cienfuegos
Forward
35
36
Ángel Recio Gutiérrez
Midfielder
Home PPG
2.15
Points per Game
Away PPG
1.26
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
1.70
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
1.34
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
3.04
Expected Goals
Málaga CF
Results
3
Matches
2
2
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
2.00
Points per Game
1.50
Goals
7
Goals Scored
4
3
Goals Conceded
3
2.33
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
67%
Over 1.5 %
100%
67%
Over 2.5 %
100%
33%
Over 3.5 %
50%
33%
Clean Sheet %
0%
Performance
51.0%
Avg Possession %
32.0%
6.0
Avg Shots on Target
5.0
12
Total Corners
12
4.0
Avg Corners
6.0
4
Total Cards
2
1.3
Avg Cards
1.0
Total Matches
3
SD Eibar
Total Matches
2
Málaga CF
Total Goals
7
Home
Total Goals
4
Away
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
Match: SD Eibar vs Málaga CF – Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa • Season 2025/26 • Game Week 38
Odds snapshot: Eibar 2.05, Draw 3.20, Málaga 3.68
Double chance: Eibar Win or Draw 1.34; Málaga Win or Draw 1.74
BTTS: Yes 1.79; No 1.89
Total goals: Over 2.5 2.07 (Over 1.5 1.28; Under 3.5 1.24)
Corners: Over 7.5 1.30; Over 9.5 2.00; Avg corners per game around 9.59
Why this favors Eibar: home advantage is meaningful. Eibar win rate at home sits around 68%, with xG at home ~1.70 versus 1.09 conceded. Málaga struggle on the road with a 33% win rate away and average xG for away sides around 1.34. The tactical edge at Ipurúa should show in tempo and pressure, especially as Eibar control the build‑up in the final third.
What the numbers say:
- The match tends to stay tight but not ultra-defensive; average total goals between these teams sits near 3.04 per game, and Over 2.5 is historically around 60%. This aligns with the current market line of 2.07 for Over 2.5.
- Both teams combined BTTS around 55% historically, making BTTS Yes at 1.79 a reasonable lean, while BTTS No at 1.89 sits in the same coin-flip zone.
Key highs/lows to watch:
- Goal timing data is incomplete here, but the trend shows a high likelihood of at least one goal (Over 0.5 at 1.01 implies goals are almost guaranteed in many similar fixtures).
- The under-4.5-goal corridor is strong historically (about 92%), suggesting the match could remain compact into the later stages, even if the total goes past two.
Bottom line bets:
- Primary value: Eibar Win or Draw (1.34) reflects the home advantage and head‑to‑head tendencies.
- Primary risk/reward: Over 2.5 goals (2.07) given the 60% historical probability and the xG profiles.
- Alternative draw/noise hedges: BTTS Yes (1.79) or Over 2.5 with a lean toward a late goal if Málaga push for a result.
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - SD Eibar
1
Javier Martón
Forward
12
goals
Top Scorers - Málaga CF
1
Carlos Ruiz Rubio
Midfielder
21
goals
2
Adrián Niño Heredia
Forward
11
goals
3
David Larrubia Romano
Forward
9
goals
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
16/08/2025
14:30
Málaga CF
1
-
1
Draw
⚡ Match Events
2'
José Corpas Serna
SD Eibar
7'
Lander Olaetxea Ibaibarriaga
SD Eibar
8'
Carlos Ruiz Rubio
Málaga CF
19'
Málaga CF
20'
Sergio Álvarez Díaz
Assist: Aritz Arambarri Murua
SD Eibar
32'
José Corpas Serna
SD Eibar
65'
Adrián Niño Heredia
Assist: Carlos Ruiz Rubio
Málaga CF
73'
Carlos Dotor González
Málaga CF
78'
Darko Brašanac
Assist: Joaquín Muñoz Benavides
Málaga CF
84'
Adrián Niño Heredia
Assist: Joaquín Muñoz Benavides
Málaga CF
90'
Diego Murillo Dominguez
Málaga CF
Málaga CF
Match Statistics
42
Possession (%)
58
42%
58%
13
Shots
19
41%
59%
5
Shots on Target
8
38%
62%
8
Shots off Target
11
42%
58%
2
Corners
6
25%
75%
8
Fouls
7
53%
47%
2
Yellow Cards
3
40%
60%
0
Red Cards
0
50%
50%
1
Offsides
0
100%
0%
37
Dangerous Attacks
40
48%
52%
88
Attacks
106
45%
55%
Possession
42%
-
58%
Shots on Target
5
-
8
Corners
2
-
6
Total Cards
5
(5 yellows,
0 reds)