Almería vs Málaga CF – Segunda División Statistics
BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
65%
Both teams to score
BTTS 1st Half
24%
Both to score in 1st half
BTTS 2nd Half
32%
Both to score in 2nd half
Goals - Over/Under
0.5 Goals
Over
97.0%
Under
3.0%
1.5 Goals
Over
80.0%
Under
21.0%
2.5 Goals
Over
71.0%
Under
30.0%
3.5 Goals
Over
33.0%
Under
68.0%
4.5 Goals
Over
24.0%
Under
77.0%
Goals by Half
Over 0.5 Goals 2H
88.0%
2nd half
Over 1.5 Goals 2H
53.0%
2nd half
Corners - Over/Under
Overall Corners Potential
10.8
expected corners
8.5 Corners
Over
65.0%
9.5 Corners
Over
59.0%
10.5 Corners
Over
47.0%
Cards - Over/Under
Overall Cards Potential
5.1
expected cards
Shots, Attacks & Offsides
Offsides Potential
3.2
expected offsides
Starting Line-ups
Almería
1
Andrés Eduardo Fernández Moreno
Goalkeeper
2
Arnau Puigmal Martínez
Midfielder
3
Alejandro José Muñoz Miguel
Defender
5
Rodrigo Ely
Defender
6
André Filipe Luz Horta
Midfielder
11
Sergio Arribas Calvo
Midfielder
18
Federico Bonini
Defender
22
Daijiro Chirino
Defender
23
Adrián Embarba Blázquez
Forward
24
Miguel de la Fuente Escudero
Forward
29
Stefan Dzodic
Midfielder
Málaga CF
1
Alfonso Herrero Peinador
Goalkeeper
3
Carlos Francisco Puga Medina
Defender
9
Carlos Ruiz Rubio
Midfielder
11
Joaquín Muñoz Benavides
Forward
12
Carlos Dotor González
Midfielder
16
Diego Murillo Dominguez
Defender
20
Francisco Javier Montero Rubio
Defender
23
Midfielder
25
Josué Dorrio Ortega
Forward
31
Rafael Garrido Hierro
Midfielder
37
Rafael Rodríguez Ruiz
Midfielder
Substitutes
Almería
4
Nélson Macedo Monte
Defender
7
8
9
12
13
Fernando Martínez Rubio
Goalkeeper
16
Marcos Luna Marcos Ruiz
Midfielder
19
Serge Patrick Njoh Soko
Forward
20
Alejandro Centelles Plaza
Defender
21
Juan Brandáriz Movilla
Defender
31
Bruno Iribarne Alemán
Goalkeeper
Málaga CF
2
Jokin Gabilondo Garmendia
Defender
4
5
Darko Brašanac
Midfielder
6
7
13
Carlos López Nogueras
Goalkeeper
14
Víctor García Marín
Defender
17
Eneko Jauregi Escobar
Forward
21
24
Julen Lobete Cienfuegos
Forward
35
36
Ángel Recio Gutiérrez
Midfielder
Home PPG
2.28
Points per Game
Away PPG
1.17
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
1.93
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
1.34
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
3.27
Expected Goals
Málaga CF
Results
2
Matches
2
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
1.50
Points per Game
1.50
Goals
3
Goals Scored
4
2
Goals Conceded
3
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
100%
Over 1.5 %
100%
50%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0%
Over 3.5 %
50%
50%
Clean Sheet %
0%
Performance
54.0%
Avg Possession %
32.0%
5.5
Avg Shots on Target
5.0
7
Total Corners
12
3.5
Avg Corners
6.0
3
Total Cards
2
1.5
Avg Cards
1.0
Total Matches
2
Almería
Total Matches
2
Málaga CF
Total Goals
3
Home
Total Goals
4
Away
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
Almería vs Málaga CF, Week 36 of the 2025/26 season. A home side with teeth meets a visiting side with away woes, and the numbers tilt toward a goal-haul.
Form and context: Almería hold a strong home profile (71% win rate at home) and arrive with higher pre-match points per game (2.24) than Málaga (1.24).
Goals and xG: Almería at home averages 1.93 xG; Málaga away 1.34 xG. Combined xG near 3.27 for the fixture, just above the typical 3.24 total seen in these matches.
Over/Under: The bookie line favors goals with Over 2.5 at 1.62. That aligns with the xG signal and the 71% Over 2.5 trend seen in similar clashes.
BTTS: Both teams scoring is common here, with a league-average BTTS around 65%. BTTS Yes at 1.57 offers solid upside if both sides push forward.
Corners: Expect a busy afternoon on set-pieces—total corners around the 10–11 range. Over 9.5 corners at 1.84 and Over 10.5 at 2.36 provide reasonable value.
Prediction: Almería win likely, with a 2-1 scoreline as a plausible scenario given the home threat and total goals trend.
Value bets to consider:
Over 2.5 goals (1.62)
BTTS Yes (1.57)
Over 10.5 corners (2.36)
Double Chance: Almería Win or Draw (1.20)
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - Almería
1
Sergio Arribas
Midfielder
24
goals
2
Adrián Embarba
Forward
14
goals
Top Scorers - Málaga CF
1
Carlos Ruiz Rubio
Midfielder
21
goals
2
Adrián Niño Heredia
Forward
11
goals
3
David Larrubia Romano
Forward
9
goals
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
21/12/2025
10:00
Málaga CF
2
-
1
Home
⚡ Match Events
8'
André Filipe Luz Horta
Almería
24'
Rafael Rodríguez Ruiz
Málaga CF
36'
Francisco Javier Montero Rubio
Málaga CF
50'
Adrián Embarba Blázquez
Assist: Miguel de la Fuente Escudero
Almería
63'
Adrián Embarba Blázquez
Assist: Alejandro José Muñoz Miguel
Almería
67'
Adrián Niño Heredia
Assist: Aarón Ochoa Moloney
Málaga CF
84'
Haitam Abaida El Achhab
Assist: Adrián Niño Heredia
Málaga CF
90'
Leonardo Carrilho Baptistão
Assist: Jon Morcillo Conesa
Almería
90'
Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo
Almería
90'
Carlos Francisco Puga Medina
Málaga CF
Málaga CF
Match Statistics
46
Possession (%)
54
46%
54%
19
Shots
13
59%
41%
6
Shots on Target
4
60%
40%
13
Shots off Target
9
59%
41%
3
Corners
5
38%
63%
18
Fouls
9
67%
33%
1
Yellow Cards
3
25%
75%
1
Red Cards
1
50%
50%
2
Offsides
4
33%
67%
46
Dangerous Attacks
40
53%
47%
92
Attacks
97
49%
51%
Possession
46%
-
54%
Shots on Target
6
-
4
Corners
3
-
5
Total Cards
6
(4 yellows,
2 reds)