France vs Iraq – FIFA World Cup Statistics

France vs Iraq, 2026 season, Week 2. Kick-off June 23. Status: incomplete. Odds reflect a clear mismatch in expectation, but the data suggests a high-event game rather than a routine win. Outcome bias: France to win is heavily priced (1.05). Double chance France Win or Draw 1.05 adds little value—trust the outright here. Goals trend: Over 2.5 goals is 1.36 and Over 3.5 is 1.82, with a historical bias toward 3.5+ goals in this fixture. Over 4.5 at 3.10 also sits in play if you’re seeking multi-goal exposure. BTTS (both teams to score): Yes at 2.80. Prior BTTS averages between these teams sit at 100%, making this a reasonable third-way angle despite the mismatch in favorites. Clean sheets: France to keep a clean sheet is 1.42. Iraq to shut France out is improbable (Iraq clean sheets at 13.00). Corners: Over 7.5 corners at 1.28 looks solid; Over 8.5 at 1.51 is also attractive. The matchup tends to produce 8–11 corners, with France slightly favored to lead on count. Edge in corners: France has the “Most Corners In The Match” line at 1.02, while Iraq to lead corners sits far higher (21.00). Expect France to edge the corner count, but Iraq can still contribute. Contextual angles France’s home xG is strong (2.49) with a home-win rate around 83%, suggesting sustained attacking pressure. They also benefit from a higher attack advantage (3) at home, and notable defensive discipline (defensive advantage of 17). Iraq’s away xG for is modest (0.84 for, 1.23 against). They average a 40% win rate on the road, but expect them to be on the back foot here, especially if France starts quickly. The historical total goals between these teams sits around 4.50 per match, reinforcing a bias toward a productive afternoon for bettors targeting multi-goal outcomes. Bottom line Value bets to consider: Over 2.5 goals, BTTS Yes, France to win and a clean sheet for France, plus a bet on Over 7.5 corners. Be mindful: the odds imply France dominance, but the BTTS angle acknowledges the likelihood of Iraq contributing on the scoreboard.