Scotland vs Morocco – FIFA World Cup Statistics

Match: Scotland vs Morocco | Gillette Stadium | 2026 Market snapshot: Morocco are slight favourites (win 1.75), Scotland 4.33, draw 3.50. Goal lines: Over 0.5 goals 1.05; Over 1.5 goals 1.35; Under 2.5 goals 1.65; Over 2.5 goals 2.22; Under 3.5 1.23; Under 4.5 1.02. Expect a tighter tempo; chances of heavy scoring are limited by 1.23–1.65 ranges for the main thresholds. BTTS: Yes 2.04, No 1.70. About a 50% historical BTTS rate between the two, so both scoring remains a credible angle. Clean sheets: Scotland yes 4.33 (low probability); Morocco yes 2.00 (more plausible but not guaranteed). Neutral venue may dampen typical home edge for Scotland. Double chance: Scotland Win or Draw 1.30; Morocco Win or Draw 1.20. Morocco’s safer route is draw or win; Scotland has a slightly longer shot for the same outcome at this neutral venue. Corners: Over 7.5 at 1.46; Over 8.5 at 1.84; Over 9.5 at 2.80. Underscoring a reasonably active game on the flanks, with a distinct edge to pushing for set-pieces (Morocco has the edge to lead corners at 1.68 over Scotland 2.81). Key corner notes: Scotland has the most corners in the match market at 2.81; Morocco at 1.68; draw 8.00. Expect several scene-changes from wide areas rather than a dominated air game. Attacking context: Morocco away xG 1.52; Scotland home xG 1.36. Neutral venue could level things; average total match xG between them 2.43 suggests a two-goal-ish pace, but the bookies lean under 3.5. Pre-match form context: Scotland historically strong at home (win rate around 80% at home), while Morocco’s away form is modest (25% win rate away). On neutral turf, the balance tilts to a tightly contested contest. Predictions and angles Likeliest scoreline: 1-1 or 1-0 to Morocco in a tight, counter-leaning affair. Neutral ground; disciplined shape from both sides keeps it close. Value bets: Under 2.5 goals (1.65) and BTTS Yes (2.04) offer sensible exposure given the 50% BTTS baseline and the defensive lean implied by the goal lines. Corner angle: Over 7.5 corners (1.46) is appealing if the teams push width and set-piece sequences spark; Morocco’s edge on corners is notable (1.68) versus Scotland (2.81). Short read for bettors: Morocco are slight favourites on a neutral stage; expect a low-to-mid scoring night with a handful of chances for both sides. If you want safety, look at a draw or Morocco double-chance; if chasing value, consider BTTS yes and Over 7.5 corners. Under 2.5 goals is a strong baseline given the market signals.