England vs Croatia – FIFA World Cup Statistics
Statistical Predictions
Estimates calculated from qualification and recent friendly data.
Estimated Result
England
36%
Draw
35%
Croatia
29%
Expected Goals
England
1.68
exp. goals
Total
2.51
Points to Over 2.5
Croatia
0.83
exp. goals
Combined Over 2.5
58%
BTTS
48%
Home PPG
0.00
Points per Game
Away PPG
0.00
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
0.00
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
0.00
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
0.00
Expected Goals
Croatia
Results
2
Matches
4
1
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
2
1.50
Points per Game
1.50
Goals
4
Goals Scored
5
3
Goals Conceded
7
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.25
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.75
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
100%
Over 1.5 %
100%
100%
Over 2.5 %
75%
50%
Over 3.5 %
25%
50%
Clean Sheet %
0%
Performance
63.0%
Avg Possession %
55.0%
4.5
Avg Shots on Target
3.3
13
Total Corners
17
6.5
Avg Corners
4.3
4
Total Cards
8
2.0
Avg Cards
2.0
Total Matches
2
England
Total Matches
4
Croatia
Total Goals
4
Home
Total Goals
5
Away
World Cup Qualification Performance
England
No qualification data available
(direct qualification or league not imported)
Croatia
No qualification data available
(direct qualification or league not imported)
Recent Form — International Friendlies
England
W
W
L
D
W
W
3
D
1
L
1
Goals/game
1.60
Conc./game
0.40
Over 2.5 %
40%
BTTS %
20%
10/06/2026
England 3–0 Costa Rica
W
06/06/2026
England 1–0 New Zealand
W
31/03/2026
England 0–1 Japan
L
27/03/2026
England 1–1 Uruguay
D
09/10/2025
England 3–0 Wales
W
Croatia
W
L
L
W
W
2
D
0
L
2
Goals/game
1.25
Conc./game
1.75
Over 2.5 %
75%
BTTS %
75%
07/06/2026
Croatia 2–1 Slovenia
W
02/06/2026
Croatia 0–2 Belgium
L
31/03/2026
Brazil 3–1 Croatia
L
26/03/2026
Colombia 1–2 Croatia
W
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
England vs Croatia, opening night of the 2026 cycle. The bookies favour England at 1.73, with a home win profile backed by a 71% win-rate at home and a defensively solid 0.55 xG conceded per game on home turf. Croatia travel with a 60% away win rate, still a credible test away from home.
Offensive edge at home: England’s xG for at home is 2.10, while Croatia’s away xG is 1.58. That suggests England can press with clear scoring potential, yet the visitors are capable of posing questions on the counter.
Defensive discipline: England’s at-home defensive profile sits around 0.55 xG against, a factor that keeps a lid on risks for a game that could lean tight in the final third.
Goal timing and timing data is sparse, so expect a measured, controlled start rather than a chaotic goal spree.
Over/Under: Under 3.5 goals is heavily favored (Under 3.5 1.22 vs Over 3.5 3.85). A 1-0, 2-1 type scoreline is plausible.
Corners: The market leans to a busy match from corners. Over 7.5 corners is 1.39, Over 8.5 is 1.71, with England often capable of delivering the majority of corner kicks in this fixture (England has the edge in corner share, and the pairing often yields higher totals).
BTTS: Yes at 2.00, No at 1.74. Given the balance, both sides scoring is a plausible scenario but not a given.
Clean sheets: England to keep a clean sheet is 2.10; Croatia’s to keep one is 4.33. England’s defensive strength at home supports a modest clean-sheet chance, but Croatia’s away threat keeps risk in play.
Double chance: England win or draw at 1.29 offers solid coverage if the hosts aren’t at their lethal best from the outset.
Prediction and bets: England win, likely 1-0 or 2-1. Favor the under 3.5 goals and a prop mix of Over 7.5 corners. If you want a safer play, Double Chance England Win or Draw plus Under 3.5 covers the core expectations for this fixture.
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - England
1
Jude Bellingham
Midfielder
7
goals
2
Harry Kane
Forward
6
goals
Top Scorers - Croatia
No data available
Head-to-Head
No head-to-head matches recorded this season.
Croatia
Match Statistics
52
Possession (%)
48
52%
48%
22
Shots
10
69%
31%
11
Shots on Target
5
69%
31%
11
Shots off Target
5
69%
31%
8
Corners
2
80%
20%
10
Fouls
12
45%
55%
0
Yellow Cards
0
50%
50%
0
Red Cards
0
50%
50%
0
Offsides
1
0%
100%
33
Dangerous Attacks
38
46%
54%
87
Attacks
81
52%
48%
Possession
52%
-
48%
Shots on Target
11
-
5
Corners
8
-
2