France vs Senegal – FIFA World Cup Statistics
Statistical Predictions
Estimates calculated from qualification and recent friendly data.
Estimated Result
France
31%
Draw
35%
Senegal
34%
Expected Goals
France
1.38
exp. goals
Total
3.27
Points to Over 2.5
Senegal
1.89
exp. goals
xG (Qualification)
France
-
Senegal
1.61
Combined Over 2.5
74%
BTTS
64%
Clean Sheet
Senegal
80%
ℹ️
The comparison data below is from the 2026 World Cup qualifiers, as these teams have not yet played in this stage.
Home PPG
0.00
Points per Game
Away PPG
0.00
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
0.00
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
0.00
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
0.00
Expected Goals
Senegal
Results
4
Matches
7
3
Wins
2
0
Draws
2
1
Losses
3
2.25
Points per Game
1.14
Goals
9
Goals Scored
14
5
Goals Conceded
8
2.25
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
1.25
Avg Goals Conceded
1.14
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
100%
Over 1.5 %
86%
100%
Over 2.5 %
57%
50%
Over 3.5 %
29%
0%
Clean Sheet %
29%
Performance
60.0%
Avg Possession %
40.0%
4.8
Avg Shots on Target
3.2
20
Total Corners
15
5.0
Avg Corners
2.1
8
Total Cards
6
2.0
Avg Cards
0.9
Total Matches
4
France
Total Matches
7
Senegal
Total Goals
9
Home
Total Goals
14
Away
World Cup Qualification Performance
France
No qualification data available
(direct qualification or league not imported)
Senegal
International WC Qualification Africa
W
7
D
3
L
0
GF:
22
·
GA:
3
·
GD:
+19
PPG
2.40
Win %
70%
Goals/game
2.20
Conc./game
0.30
xG For
1.61
xG Against
0.93
Possession
56.0%
Clean Sheet
80%
BTTS %
20%
Over 2.5 %
40%
Table position: #1
Recent Form — International Friendlies
France
W
L
W
W
W
3
D
0
L
1
Goals/game
2.25
Conc./game
1.25
Over 2.5 %
100%
BTTS %
100%
08/06/2026
France 3–1 Northern Ireland
W
04/06/2026
France 1–2 Ivory Coast
L
29/03/2026
Colombia 1–3 France
W
26/03/2026
Brazil 1–2 France
W
Senegal
D
L
W
W
W
W
3
D
1
L
1
Goals/game
3.00
Conc./game
0.80
Over 2.5 %
60%
BTTS %
40%
09/06/2026
Saudi Arabia 0–0 Senegal
D
31/05/2026
USMNT 3–2 Senegal
L
31/03/2026
Senegal 3–1 Gambia
W
28/03/2026
Senegal 2–0 Peru
W
18/11/2025
Kenya 0–8 Senegal
W
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
France vs Senegal, 2026 season, Week 1. Status: incomplete. Kick-off approaches on June 17.
France arrive as clear favourites. They clock a strong home profile: xG for at home 2.68, xG against only 0.48, and an 80% win rate at home. The attack gets a +4 edge and the defence a hefty +11 cushion, giving them a robust overall home advantage of +8.
Senegal travel with away numbers: xG for 1.39, xG against 1.11, and a 50% win rate away. They can spring a surprise, but they tend to concede early on the road (losing at half-time away 1). Expect a disciplined, reactive display rather than freewheeling chaos.
Markets and angles that jump out: France to win is a solid bet (1.42) and France to keep a clean sheet is plausible (1.95). The goal clock isn’t set in stone, but the Over 2.5 line at 1.90 nudges toward a productive night; Under 3.5 at 1.28 keeps the door ajar for a tighter scoreline.
Corners tend to tilt France’s way: total corners Over 8.5 at 1.58 is reasonable, and France is tipped to lead in corners (France has most corners in the match: 1.25). BTTS sits around 2.10, so a no-go on both sides isn’t far-fetched if France clamp down early.
Prediction: a France win, likely in a 2-0 to 2-1 range. The safer plays align with a clean sheet for France and a modest goal tally, while a shootout is less likely than the steady control France often imposes.
Primary bet: France to win
Alternative bet: France to win and keep a clean sheet
Other value: Under 3.5 goals
Corner angle: Over 8.5 corners
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - France
1
Kylian Mbappé
Forward
10
goals
2
Ousmane Dembélé
Forward
6
goals
Top Scorers - Senegal
1
Ismaïla Sarr
Forward
4
goals
Head-to-Head
No head-to-head matches recorded this season.
Senegal
Match Statistics
53
Possession (%)
47
53%
47%
11
Shots
6
65%
35%
8
Shots on Target
2
80%
20%
3
Shots off Target
4
43%
57%
6
Corners
4
60%
40%
5
Fouls
9
36%
64%
0
Yellow Cards
0
50%
50%
0
Red Cards
0
50%
50%
1
Offsides
3
25%
75%
32
Dangerous Attacks
27
54%
46%
113
Attacks
99
53%
47%
Possession
53%
-
47%
Shots on Target
8
-
2
Corners
6
-
4