USMNT vs Paraguay – FIFA World Cup Statistics
Statistical Predictions
Estimates calculated from qualification and recent friendly data.
Estimated Result
USMNT
38%
Draw
35%
Paraguay
27%
Expected Goals
USMNT
1.47
exp. goals
Total
3.27
Points to Over 2.5
Paraguay
1.80
exp. goals
xG (Qualification)
USMNT
-
Paraguay
1.11
Combined Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
59%
Clean Sheet
Paraguay
56%
ℹ️
The comparison data below is from the 2026 World Cup qualifiers, as these teams have not yet played in this stage.
Home PPG
0.00
Points per Game
Away PPG
0.00
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
0.00
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
0.00
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
0.00
Expected Goals
Paraguay
Results
10
Matches
4
6
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
2
1.90
Points per Game
1.00
Goals
19
Goals Scored
5
13
Goals Conceded
7
1.90
Avg Goals Scored
1.25
1.30
Avg Goals Conceded
1.75
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
100%
Over 1.5 %
100%
70%
Over 2.5 %
75%
30%
Over 3.5 %
25%
20%
Clean Sheet %
0%
Performance
58.0%
Avg Possession %
41.0%
5.4
Avg Shots on Target
3.3
49
Total Corners
13
4.9
Avg Corners
3.3
19
Total Cards
9
1.9
Avg Cards
2.3
Total Matches
10
USMNT
Total Matches
4
Paraguay
Total Goals
19
Home
Total Goals
5
Away
World Cup Qualification Performance
USMNT
No qualification data available
(direct qualification or league not imported)
Paraguay
International WC Qualification South America
W
7
D
7
L
4
GF:
14
·
GA:
10
·
GD:
+4
PPG
1.56
Win %
39%
Goals/game
0.78
Conc./game
0.56
xG For
1.11
xG Against
1.05
Possession
38.0%
Clean Sheet
56%
BTTS %
22%
Over 2.5 %
22%
Table position: #6
Recent Form — International Friendlies
USMNT
L
W
L
L
W
W
2
D
0
L
3
Goals/game
2.20
Conc./game
2.40
Over 2.5 %
80%
BTTS %
80%
06/06/2026
USMNT 1–2 Germany
L
31/05/2026
USMNT 3–2 Senegal
W
31/03/2026
USMNT 0–2 Portugal
L
28/03/2026
USMNT 2–5 Belgium
L
18/11/2025
USMNT 5–1 Uruguay
W
Paraguay
W
L
W
W
L
W
3
D
0
L
2
Goals/game
1.80
Conc./game
1.00
Over 2.5 %
80%
BTTS %
60%
05/06/2026
Paraguay 4–0 Nicaragua
W
31/03/2026
Morocco 2–1 Paraguay
L
27/03/2026
Greece 0–1 Paraguay
W
18/11/2025
Mexico 1–2 Paraguay
W
15/11/2025
USMNT 2–1 Paraguay
L
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
Match: USMNT vs Paraguay, 2026, Game Week 1. Kick-off June 13. Stadium TBC.
Markets quick read: USMNT win 2.00, draw 3.30, Paraguay win 3.90. Over 2.5 goals 2.30; Under 2.5 goals 1.61.
Home vs away metrics: USMNT at home xG for 1.59, xG against 1.22; win rate 50%. Paraguay away xG for 1.03, xG against 1.27; win rate 38%, lose 50%. FootyStats notes a strong home edge for the US against Paraguay (~84).
Goal timings: Timings exist for this measure (1 recorded in related data).
Analysis snapshot: The market prices USMNT as a slight favorite with a balanced, low-scoring projection. The home advantage combined with higher home xG supports a predilection toward the home win, while the under-2.5 line remains relatively strong value given the defensive reads of both teams.
Predictions: Likeliest outcome: USMNT win. Prime betting angles: USMNT at 2.00 as a value pick, and under 2.5 goals (1.61) as a complementary angle for a tighter result.
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - USMNT
1
Folarin Balogun
Forward
3
goals
Top Scorers - Paraguay
No data available
Head-to-Head
No head-to-head matches recorded this season.
Paraguay
Match Statistics
65
Possession (%)
35
65%
35%
16
Shots
9
64%
36%
6
Shots on Target
1
86%
14%
10
Shots off Target
8
56%
44%
3
Corners
1
75%
25%
13
Fouls
17
43%
57%
1
Yellow Cards
5
17%
83%
0
Red Cards
0
50%
50%
2
Offsides
1
67%
33%
92
Dangerous Attacks
22
81%
19%
158
Attacks
58
73%
27%
Possession
65%
-
35%
Shots on Target
6
-
1
Corners
3
-
1
Total Cards
6
(6 yellows,
0 reds)