07/03/2026
17:00
Estadio La Rosaleda
BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
54%
Both teams to score
BTTS 1st Half
18%
Both to score in 1st half
BTTS 2nd Half
25%
Both to score in 2nd half
Goals - Over/Under
0.5 Goals
Over
97.0%
Under
4.0%
1.5 Goals
Over
75.0%
Under
25.0%
2.5 Goals
Over
57.0%
Under
43.0%
3.5 Goals
Over
29.0%
Under
71.0%
4.5 Goals
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Goals by Half
Over 0.5 Goals 2H
83.0%
2nd half
Over 1.5 Goals 2H
43.0%
2nd half
Corners - Over/Under
Overall Corners Potential
8.9
expected corners
8.5 Corners
Over
47.0%
9.5 Corners
Over
36.0%
10.5 Corners
Over
29.0%
Cards - Over/Under
Overall Cards Potential
5.8
expected cards
Shots, Attacks & Offsides
Offsides Potential
3.2
expected offsides
Starting Line-ups
Málaga CF
1
Alfonso Herrero Peinador
Goalkeeper
9
Carlos Ruiz Rubio
Midfielder
10
David Larrubia Romano
Forward
11
Joaquín Muñoz Benavides
Forward
12
Carlos Dotor González
Midfielder
14
Víctor García Marín
Defender
16
Diego Murillo Dominguez
Defender
20
Francisco Javier Montero Rubio
Defender
22
Daniel Lorenzo Guerrero
Midfielder
23
Midfielder
31
Rafael Garrido Hierro
Midfielder
Real Valladolid
5
Ramón Martinez Gil
Defender
7
Sergi Canós Tenes
Midfielder
10
Marcos André de Sousa Mendonça
Forward
13
Guilherme Sousa Carvalho Fernandes
Goalkeeper
14
Iván Alejo Peralta
Forward
15
Pablo Tomeo Félez
Midfielder
18
Carlos Clerc Martínez
Defender
20
Iván San José Cantalejo
Midfielder
21
Julien Ponceau
Midfielder
22
Peter Federico González Carmona
Midfielder
24
Stanko Jurić
Midfielder
Substitutes
Málaga CF
2
7
Haitam Abaida El Achhab
Forward
8
13
Carlos López Nogueras
Goalkeeper
17
Eneko Jauregi Escobar
Forward
18
Daniel Rodríguez Sánchez
Defender
21
24
Julen Lobete Cienfuegos
Forward
25
Josué Dorrio Ortega
Midfielder
35
Aarón Ochoa Moloney
Midfielder
36
37
Real Valladolid
1
Álvaro Aceves Catalina
Goalkeeper
2
Clément Michelin
Defender
6
Mathis Lachuer
Defender
8
9
12
Ibrahim Akitunde Alani
Midfielder
17
19
Lucas Sanseviero
Midfielder
23
Mohamed Jaouab
Defender
25
27
39
Noah Ohio
Forward
Home PPG
2.13
Points per Game
Away PPG
1.13
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
1.76
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
1.29
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
3.05
Expected Goals
Real Valladolid
Results
2
Matches
1
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
1.50
Points per Game
0.00
Goals
4
Goals Scored
0
3
Goals Conceded
1
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
0.00
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
100%
Over 1.5 %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
0%
50%
Over 3.5 %
0%
0%
Clean Sheet %
0%
Performance
32.0%
Avg Possession %
56.0%
5.0
Avg Shots on Target
6.0
12
Total Corners
3
6.0
Avg Corners
3.0
2
Total Cards
2
1.0
Avg Cards
2.0
Total Matches
2
Málaga CF
Total Matches
1
Real Valladolid
Total Goals
4
Home
Total Goals
0
Away
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
Match: Málaga CF vs Real Valladolid • 2025/2026, Week 29 • Estadio La Rosaleda
Markets to note: Málaga win 1.91, Draw 3.20, Valladolid 3.50. Over 2.5 goals 2.15; BTTS Yes 1.87; Double Chance Málaga 1.32.
Home edge for Málaga: 64% win rate at home, with xG at home around 1.76 and conceding ~1.30 per game. This contrasts with Valladolid away form: 29% win rate away and xG for 1.29, xGA 1.56.
Head-to-head context: average total xG per match between these teams sits near 3.05, with 75% chance of at least one goal and 57% chance of over 2.5 goals. The market leans toward a mid-range scoring game.
Goal timing: first-half BTTS is relatively rare (about 18%), while overall second-half BTTS sits around 25%—expect action to concentrate after the break.
Corners: expect a test of around 8–9 corners in the match. Over 7.5 corners is priced favorable at 1.36, and Over 8.5 at 1.63.
Recent form snapshot: Málaga shows stronger home credentials; Valladolid’s away form is a clear negative indicator.
Predictions & bet ideas
Prediction lean: Málaga to edge this one or share the points (Málaga win or draw). Scoreline possibility: 2-1 Málaga or 1-1 draw.
Score/goal angle: Over 2.5 goals looks plausible given the historical xG and betting lines; BTTS is a viable companion bet.
Markets to target: Double Chance: Málaga Win or Draw (1.32) offers solid coverage; Over 2.5 goals (2.15) and BTTS Yes (1.87) provide balanced upside alongside the safer result.
Corners: If you’re chasing a prop, Over 7.5 corners is a reasonable target given historical averages around 8.9 across similar fixtures.
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - Málaga CF
1
Carlos Ruiz Rubio
Midfielder
17
goals
2
David Larrubia Romano
Forward
9
goals
Top Scorers - Real Valladolid
No data available
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
29/11/2025
17:00
Real Valladolid
1
-
1
Draw
⚡ Match Events
11'
Carlos Ruiz Rubio
Málaga CF
14'
Carlos Dotor González
Málaga CF
29'
Francisco Javier Montero Rubio
Málaga CF
45'
Peter Federico González Carmona
Assist: Stanko Jurić
Real Valladolid
48'
Carlos Ruiz Rubio
Assist: Víctor García Marín
Málaga CF
56'
Víctor García Marín
Málaga CF
65'
Carlos Ruiz Rubio
Málaga CF
66'
Ramón Martinez Gil
Real Valladolid
85'
Jokin Gabilondo Garmendia
Málaga CF
90'
Juan Miguel Latasa Fernández Layos
Assist: Iván San José Cantalejo
Real Valladolid
90'
David Larrubia Romano
Málaga CF
90'
Málaga CF
90'
Juan Pedro Jiménez Melero
Málaga CF
90'
Juan Miguel Latasa Fernández Layos
Real Valladolid
Real Valladolid
Match Statistics
49
Possession (%)
51
49%
51%
10
Shots
17
37%
63%
6
Shots on Target
6
50%
50%
4
Shots off Target
11
27%
73%
0
Corners
9
0%
100%
13
Fouls
13
50%
50%
4
Yellow Cards
4
50%
50%
1
Red Cards
0
100%
0%
1
Offsides
2
33%
67%
34
Dangerous Attacks
70
33%
67%
90
Attacks
104
46%
54%
Possession
49%
-
51%
Shots on Target
6
-
6
Corners
0
-
9
Total Cards
9
(8 yellows,
1 reds)