Match preview: Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur – Season 2025/2026, Gameweek 30 At Anfield the data tilts toward the home side. Market odds give Liverpool the edge, and the underlying metrics support a goal-rich, corner-heavy contest with Liverpool’s home strength central to the storyline. Win expectation: Liverpool to win 1.32; Double Chance Liverpool Win or Draw 1.12. Home xG stands out (1.97) against Tottenham’s away xG (1.18), underscoring a controlled attacking profile at home. Goal expectations: Over 2.5 goals 1.42; Over 3.5 goals 2.25. BTTS Yes 1.72; BTTS No 2.02. First-half BTTS averages low (18%), but second-half BTTS climbs (33%), suggesting late-game drama is plausible. Clean sheets: Liverpool clean sheets Yes 2.20; Tottenham clean sheets Yes 8.50, implying Liverpool are likelier to keep a clean sheet than Spurs, given the away vulnerability. Corners: A corner-heavy fixture is likely. Over 7.5 corners 1.10; Over 8.5 1.24; Over 9.5 1.46; Over 10.5 1.80. Historical averages push total corners toward the low-to-mid double digits; Liverpool edge on corners in-match (approx. 1.23) and Tottenham edge near 4.60 for most corners in a match. Context & form: Liverpool have a 57% home win rate; Tottenham away win rate sits around 36%. Tottenham’s away xG against is higher (1.54) than their away xG for (1.18), while Liverpool’s home advantage reinforces control of the contest. Predictions & bets Core bet: Liverpool to win (1.32) with over 2.5 goals (1.42). Secondary angle: BTTS Yes (1.72) fits the backdrop of a high-frequency goal fixture and the general BTTS trend (57% average). Corner play: Over 7.5 corners (1.10) as a low-risk add-on given the typical high-corner profile of this fixture. Note: Expect early pressure from Liverpool, with the match opening into a second-half cadence as nerves and fatigue shape opportunities. The data favours a home victory, multiple goals, and a busy canvas of corners.