08/03/2026
18:00
BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
40%
Both teams to score
BTTS 1st Half
33%
Both to score in 1st half
BTTS 2nd Half
23%
Both to score in 2nd half
Goals - Over/Under
0.5 Goals
Over
100.0%
1.5 Goals
Over
85.0%
Under
15.0%
2.5 Goals
Over
60.0%
Under
40.0%
3.5 Goals
Over
35.0%
Under
65.0%
4.5 Goals
Over
15.0%
Under
85.0%
Goals by Half
Over 0.5 Goals 2H
95.0%
2nd half
Over 1.5 Goals 2H
55.0%
2nd half
Corners - Over/Under
Overall Corners Potential
9.9
expected corners
8.5 Corners
Over
35.0%
9.5 Corners
Over
30.0%
10.5 Corners
Over
20.0%
Cards - Over/Under
Overall Cards Potential
4.2
expected cards
Shots, Attacks & Offsides
Offsides Potential
2.4
expected offsides
Starting Line-ups
Internacional
1
Sergio Rochet Álvarez
Goalkeeper
7
Johan Stiven Carbonero Balanta
Forward
10
Alan Patrick Lourenço
Midfielder
15
Bruno Gomes da Silva Clevelário
Midfielder
16
Ronaldo da Silva Souza
Midfielder
19
Rafael Santos Borré Amaury
Forward
25
Gabriel Iván Mercado
Defender
27
Paulo Lucas de Paula
Midfielder
28
Vitor Hugo Naum dos Santos
Forward
31
Allex Rodrigues Pereira da Silva
Midfielder
41
Midfielder
Grêmio
1
Weverton Pereira da Silva
Goalkeeper
6
Midfielder
7
Cristian David Pavón
Forward
8
Arthur Henrique Ramos de Oliveira Melo
Midfielder
9
Francis Amuzu
Forward
11
Miguel Ángel Monsalve Gonzáles
Midfielder
19
Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola
Midfielder
23
Marlon Rodrigues Xavier
Defender
44
Viery Fernandes Santos Lopes
Midfielder
95
Carlos Vinícius Alves Morais
Forward
99
José David Enamorado Gómez
Midfielder
Substitutes
Internacional
4
Felix Eduardo Torres Caicedo
Defender
5
Rodrigo Román Villagra
Midfielder
8
Bruno Henrique Corsini
Midfielder
9
12
Midfielder
14
17
18
29
Thiago Maia Alencar
Midfielder
35
Braian Nahuel Aguirre
Defender
44
João Victor Alves de Morais Francisco
Midfielder
47
Gustavo Prado Alves
Midfielder
Grêmio
3
4
10
12
Gabriel Hamester Grando
Goalkeeper
14
Marcos Luis Rocha Aquino
Defender
17
21
37
Gabriel Ferreira de Carvalho
Midfielder
38
Caio Fernando de Oliveira
Midfielder
39
Tiago Augusto Gonçalves
Midfielder
47
Roger Dias Fernandes
Right Wing
77
Andre Henrique da Silva Martins
Midfielder
Home PPG
2.27
Points per Game
Away PPG
1.73
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
1.81
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
1.37
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
3.18
Expected Goals
Grêmio
Results
11
Matches
2
8
Wins
1
1
Draws
0
2
Losses
1
2.27
Points per Game
1.50
Goals
25
Goals Scored
1
10
Goals Conceded
1
2.27
Avg Goals Scored
0.50
0.91
Avg Goals Conceded
0.50
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
91%
Over 1.5 %
0%
73%
Over 2.5 %
0%
36%
Over 3.5 %
0%
45%
Clean Sheet %
50%
Performance
65.0%
Avg Possession %
70.0%
6.2
Avg Shots on Target
4.0
73
Total Corners
9
6.6
Avg Corners
4.5
23
Total Cards
8
2.1
Avg Cards
4.0
Total Matches
11
Internacional
Total Matches
2
Grêmio
Total Goals
25
Home
Total Goals
1
Away
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
In Porto Alegre, the derby wears the weight of history and the metrics back the intuition: an evenly balanced yet slightly Inter-leaning clash at Estádio José Pinheiro Borda. The numbers whisper what the eye already knows: this one should sing a bit before it settles.
Odds snapshot: Internacional to win 1.85, draw 3.25, Grêmio 4.00. Double Chance Internacional Win or Draw 1.26 — a sensible guard for a derby that can surprise on the counter.
Goal potential: Over 2.5 goals 1.76; Under 2.5 1.95. The overall xG preview sits around 3.18, suggesting a contest with two credible threats and a need for compact defense.
BTTS: Yes at 1.70. Both teams scoring is plausible given the form and history; a tight 1st half with goals likely in the second period is not out of the question.
Corners: A high-corner affair is anticipated. Over 7.5 at 1.14, over 9.5 at 1.45, over 10.5 at 1.70. Historical averages sit near 9.90 corners — expect sustained attacking moves that test the flanks.
Key benchmarks: Internacional carries a stronger home-attack profile (xG ~2.33) even if this is not their venue; Grêmio’s away xG conceded is a concern (around 1.56 against). The derby could hinge on who seizes early control.
First-half dynamics: historically, over 0.5 goals in the first half occurs around 75% of such matches; anticipate an opening tempo, with a more decisive second half.
Predicted angle: Internacional edge, BTTS in play, and a cavalcade of corners. Best bets: Internacional win or draw, BTTS Yes, and Over 2.5 goals, with a nod to Over 9.5 corners for a lively 90 minutes.
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - Internacional
1
Rafael Santos Borré
Forward
5
goals
2
Vitor Hugo Naum dos Santos
Forward
3
goals
Top Scorers - Grêmio
1
Carlos Vinícius
Forward
4
goals
2
Francis Amuzu
Forward
3
goals
3
Edenilson
Midfielder
2
goals
Head-to-Head (Last 2)
01/03/2026
18:00
Grêmio
3
-
0
Home
25/01/2026
20:00
Internacional
4
-
2
Home
⚡ Match Events
6'
Ronaldo da Silva Souza
Internacional
6'
Internacional
25'
Francis Amuzu
Grêmio
45'
Assist: Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola
Grêmio
45'
Alerrandro Barra Mansa Realino de Souza
Internacional
45'
Viery Fernandes Santos Lopes
Grêmio
45'
Andre Henrique da Silva Martins
Grêmio
77'
Carlos Vinícius Alves Morais
Grêmio
78'
Wagner Leonardo Calvelo de Souza
Grêmio
82'
Alan Patrick Lourenço
Internacional
83'
Paulo Lucas de Paula
Internacional
90'
Arthur Henrique Ramos de Oliveira Melo
Grêmio
Grêmio
Match Statistics
72
Possession (%)
28
72%
28%
17
Shots
3
85%
15%
5
Shots on Target
1
83%
17%
12
Shots off Target
2
86%
14%
13
Corners
1
93%
7%
23
Fouls
20
53%
47%
4
Yellow Cards
5
44%
56%
0
Red Cards
1
0%
100%
2
Offsides
2
50%
50%
82
Dangerous Attacks
16
84%
16%
108
Attacks
32
77%
23%
Possession
72%
-
28%
Shots on Target
5
-
1
Corners
13
-
1
Total Cards
10
(9 yellows,
1 reds)