BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
42%
Both teams to score
BTTS 1st Half
21%
Both to score in 1st half
BTTS 2nd Half
17%
Both to score in 2nd half
Goals - Over/Under
0.5 Goals
Over
100.0%
1.5 Goals
Over
80.0%
Under
21.0%
2.5 Goals
Over
59.0%
Under
42.0%
3.5 Goals
Over
21.0%
Under
80.0%
4.5 Goals
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Goals by Half
Over 0.5 Goals 2H
80.0%
2nd half
Over 1.5 Goals 2H
38.0%
2nd half
Corners - Over/Under
Overall Corners Potential
12.6
expected corners
8.5 Corners
Over
54.0%
9.5 Corners
Over
42.0%
10.5 Corners
Over
25.0%
Cards - Over/Under
Overall Cards Potential
4.3
expected cards
Shots, Attacks & Offsides
Offsides Potential
4.6
expected offsides
Starting Line-ups
Benfica
1
Anatolii Trubin
Goalkeeper
5
Enzo Barrenechea
Midfielder
14
Evangelos Pavlidis
Forward
17
Amar Dedic
Defender
20
Richard Rios Montoya
Midfielder
21
Andreas Schjelderup
Midfielder
25
Gianluca Prestianni Gross
Forward
26
Samuel Dahl
Midfielder
27
Rafael Alexandre Fernandes Ferreira da Silva
Midfielder
30
Nicolás Hernán Gonzalo Otamendi
Defender
44
Tomás Lemos Araújo
Defender
Porto
4
Jakub Piotr Kiwior
Defender
5
Jan Kacper Bednarek
Defender
8
Victor Froholdt
Midfielder
10
Gabriel Veiga Novas
Midfielder
11
Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa
Forward
20
Alberto Oliveira Baio
Defender
22
Alan Varela
Midfielder
27
Deniz Gül
Forward
52
Midfielder
77
Oskar Pietuszewski
Midfielder
99
Diogo Meireles da Costa
Goalkeeper
Substitutes
Benfica
4
António João Pereira de Albuquerque Tavares da Silva
Defender
↑ for Nicolás Hernán Gonzalo Otamendi
(75')
6
9
10
Heorhii Sudakov
Midfielder
11
16
Manuel Jorge Silva
Midfielder
18
24
Samuel Jumpe Soares
Goalkeeper
72
Anísio Cláudio Fernandes Reis Cabral
Midfielder
Porto
3
Thiago Emiliano da Silva
Defender
7
13
Pablo Paulino Rosario
Midfielder
14
Cláudio Pires Morais Ramos
Goalkeeper
17
29
42
74
Francisco Sampaio Moura
Defender
86
Rodrigo Mora Carvalho
Midfielder
Home PPG
2.23
Points per Game
Away PPG
2.62
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
2.10
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
1.64
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
3.74
Expected Goals
Porto
Results
29
Matches
9
20
Wins
6
9
Draws
2
0
Losses
1
2.38
Points per Game
2.22
Goals
61
Goals Scored
15
18
Goals Conceded
8
2.10
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
0.62
Avg Goals Conceded
0.89
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
86%
Over 1.5 %
89%
66%
Over 2.5 %
56%
24%
Over 3.5 %
11%
48%
Clean Sheet %
22%
Performance
59.0%
Avg Possession %
55.0%
6.0
Avg Shots on Target
5.3
207
Total Corners
51
7.1
Avg Corners
5.7
60
Total Cards
21
2.1
Avg Cards
2.3
Total Matches
29
Benfica
Total Matches
9
Porto
Total Goals
61
Home
Total Goals
15
Away
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
Preview The Lisbon derby returns with Benfica at home and Porto arriving in good away form. The bookies lean slightly Benfica, but Porto’s away numbers suggest this won’t be a one-way battle. A game that rarely disappoints for those chasing goals and corners, rather than a chess match.
Key stats to watch
Benfica at home have a strong win-rate (67%), with a clear attack edge when playing on home soil.
Porto away from home boast an eye-popping 92% win rate, with xG for 1.64 and against 1.10, indicating an efficient threat on the break and set pieces.
Overall match xG between these two sides sits around 3.74 historically, and you’ll see a similar pattern here.
Goal timing and goal totals trend toward multiple goals: Over 2.5 goals is around 2.15, and Over 1.5 in the match is priced at 1.34.
BTTS is a coin toss (Yes 1.85, No 1.86), suggesting both teams have chances, but no guarantee both sides are clinical.
Corners tend to accumulate; average team match totals sit in double digits. Over 9.5 corners is near 2.00, with Over 7.5 at 1.30.
Insights Expect Benfica to push high up the pitch, leveraging home advantage, while Porto will threaten on counters and set pieces. The matchup’s history supports a higher-scoring affair, but the pace can swing on a single moment—first-half pressure often translates into early chances, with a healthy likelihood of goals in both halves.
Predictions & bets
Main bet: Benfica to win (2.13) with both teams scoring (BTTS Yes at 1.85) and the match going Over 2.5 goals (2.15).
Alternative bets: Benfica win or draw (1.35) or Porto win or draw (1.72) could be sensible if you’re hedging. A double chance on Benfica is a solid safety net given home strength.
Corners: Expect double-digit corners; Over 9.5 corners around 1.99 offers decent value, with both sides capable of leading in set-piece moments.
Kick-off: March 09
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - Benfica
1
Evangelos Pavlidis
Forward
22
goals
Top Scorers - Porto
1
Samu Omorodion
Forward
13
goals
2
William Gomes Carvalho Santos
Midfielder
8
goals
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
05/10/2025
17:15
Porto
0
-
0
Draw
⚡ Match Events
10'
Victor Froholdt
Porto
26'
Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa
Porto
35'
Nicolás Hernán Gonzalo Otamendi
Benfica
35'
Gabriel Veiga Novas
Porto
40'
Oskar Pietuszewski
Assist: Gabriel Veiga Novas
Porto
45'
Diogo Meireles da Costa
Porto
58'
Porto
69'
Andreas Schjelderup
Benfica
78'
Alberto Oliveira Baio
Porto
81'
William Gomes Carvalho Santos
Porto
88'
Leandro Barreiro Martins
Assist: Franjo Ivanović
Benfica
90'
Nicolás Hernán Gonzalo Otamendi
Benfica
90'
Nicolás Hernán Gonzalo Otamendi
Benfica
90'
António João Pereira de Albuquerque Tavares da Silva
Benfica
Porto
Match Statistics
60
Possession (%)
40
60%
40%
20
Shots
14
59%
41%
6
Shots on Target
6
50%
50%
14
Shots off Target
8
64%
36%
8
Corners
2
80%
20%
11
Fouls
17
39%
61%
1
Yellow Cards
4
20%
80%
1
Red Cards
0
100%
0%
0
Offsides
1
0%
100%
67
Dangerous Attacks
37
64%
36%
113
Attacks
80
59%
41%
Possession
60%
-
40%
Shots on Target
6
-
6
Corners
8
-
2
Total Cards
6
(5 yellows,
1 reds)