07/03/2026
18:30
BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
50%
Both teams to score
Goals - Over/Under
0.5 Goals
Over
100.0%
1.5 Goals
Over
100.0%
2.5 Goals
Under
100.0%
3.5 Goals
Under
100.0%
4.5 Goals
Under
100.0%
Goals by Half
Over 0.5 Goals 2H
50.0%
2nd half
Corners - Over/Under
Overall Corners Potential
13.0
expected corners
8.5 Corners
Over
50.0%
9.5 Corners
Over
50.0%
10.5 Corners
Over
50.0%
Cards - Over/Under
Overall Cards Potential
4.0
expected cards
Starting Line-ups
CSD Independiente del Valle
1
Miguel Angel Peralta Quiñonez
Midfielder
6
Jordy José Alcívar Macías
Midfielder
7
Patrik Kleiver Mercado Altamirano
Midfielder
9
Carlos Gonzalez Espínola
Forward
10
Júnior Nazareno Sornoza Moreira
Midfielder
13
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
Midfielder
14
Mateo Carabajal
Defender
19
Layan Manuel Loor Requelme
Defender
21
Jean Pierre Arroyo
Midfielder
23
Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia
Defender
31
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodriguez
Midfielder
Mushuc Runa SC
5
Esteban Nicolás Dávila Alarcón
Midfielder
6
Brian Negro
Defender
9
Ronie Edmundo Carrillo Morales
Midfielder
10
Freddy Darío Mina Quiñónez
Midfielder
12
Franklin Alexander Carabalí Carabalí
Defender
23
Lucas Maximiliano Lemos Mayuncaldi
Defender
25
Rodrigo Nicolás Formento Chialanza
Goalkeeper
26
Kevin Marcelo Peralta Ayoví
Midfielder
33
José Manuel Hernández Porozo
Midfielder
77
Elvis Kevin Velasco Chere
Midfielder
99
Cristopher Adonis Angulo Caicedo
Defender
Substitutes
CSD Independiente del Valle
4
Jhon Jairo Espinoza Izquierdo
Midfielder
8
Youri José Ochoa Sampertegui
Midfielder
11
12
Eduardo David Bores Díaz
Midfielder
15
Gustavo Orlando Cortez Quiñónez
Defender
16
Ronald Elain Briones Legarda
Midfielder
17
32
33
Andy René Velasco García
Midfielder
50
53
Justin Armando Lerma Soliz
Midfielder
99
Mushuc Runa SC
2
7
8
Arnaldo Zambrano
Midfielder
11
14
17
Osman Leynert Pico Macías
Midfielder
18
19
Jamilton Carcelen Moreira
Midfielder
37
José Luis Quiñones Mesías
Defender
42
Wilman Adonnis Pabón Carcelén
Goalkeeper
50
Jeremy Ariel Cusme Castillo
Midfielder
Home PPG
3.00
Points per Game
Away PPG
0.50
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
2.32
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
1.48
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
3.80
Expected Goals
Mushuc Runa SC
Results
8
Matches
9
3
Wins
7
2
Draws
1
3
Losses
1
1.38
Points per Game
2.44
Goals
11
Goals Scored
16
9
Goals Conceded
7
1.38
Avg Goals Scored
1.78
1.13
Avg Goals Conceded
0.78
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
88%
Over 1.5 %
78%
38%
Over 2.5 %
56%
25%
Over 3.5 %
11%
38%
Clean Sheet %
33%
Performance
56.0%
Avg Possession %
36.0%
5.3
Avg Shots on Target
3.8
48
Total Corners
30
6.0
Avg Corners
3.3
16
Total Cards
34
2.0
Avg Cards
3.8
Total Matches
8
CSD Independiente del Valle
Total Matches
9
Mushuc Runa SC
Total Goals
11
Home
Total Goals
16
Away
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
Match: CSD Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC — Season 2026, Game Week 3. Venue: Estadio General Rumiñahui del Valle de Los Chillos. Kick-off: March 08.
Odds snapshot
Independiente del Valle to win: 1.47
Draw: 3.90
Mushuc Runa SC to win: 5.50
Over 2.5 goals: 1.92
Under 2.5 goals: 1.82
BTTS Yes: 2.03 • BTTS No: 1.70
Double Chance (Independiente win or draw): 1.21
Outlook and key trends
Independiente del Valle arrive with a higher expected goal profile (xG ~2.32) and stronger home xG for (1.65) vs Mushuc's away xG for (1.18).
Defensive context at home shows relatively solid numbers (xG against ~0.68), suggesting a compact setup with potential for a low-scoring win.
Historical trend points to a tight game: total goals around 2.0 on average, and a 50% BTTS tendency across head-to-heads before this match.
The match-line favors the home side, with a credible chance of a first-half or early second-half edge given the attacking pressure at home.
Predictions and bets
Best bet: Independiente del Valle to win (1.47) — solid home edges, higher xG, and Mushuc Runa’s away form is below par.
Secondary: Under 2.5 goals (1.82) — supporting the majority of recent low-scoring outcomes and the expected disciplined approach from the home side.
Alternative angle: Double Chance (Independiente win or draw) at 1.21 for a safer play in a potentially tight start.
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - CSD Independiente del Valle
1
Júnior Sornoza
Midfielder
2
goals
2
Matías Mijail Perello
Midfielder
2
goals
Top Scorers - Mushuc Runa SC
1
Ronie Carrillo
Midfielder
2
goals
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
04/07/2026
21:00
Mushuc Runa SC
21:00
⚡ Match Events
2'
Elvis Kevin Velasco Chere
Assist: Freddy Darío Mina Quiñónez
Mushuc Runa SC
32'
Ronie Edmundo Carrillo Morales
Mushuc Runa SC
42'
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodriguez
Assist: Jordy José Alcívar Macías
CSD Independiente del Valle
45'
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
CSD Independiente del Valle
45'
Lucas Maximiliano Lemos Mayuncaldi
Mushuc Runa SC
47'
Esteban Nicolás Dávila Alarcón
Mushuc Runa SC
62'
Brian Negro
Mushuc Runa SC
69'
Jordy José Alcívar Macías
CSD Independiente del Valle
69'
Cristopher Adonis Angulo Caicedo
Mushuc Runa SC
89'
Matías Mijail Perello
Assist: Arón David Rodríguez Franco
CSD Independiente del Valle
90'
Juan Riquelme Angulo Caiced
Assist: Djorkaeff Neicer Reasco González
CSD Independiente del Valle
90'
Jackson Alexander Gonzalez Simisterra
Mushuc Runa SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Match Statistics
73
Possession (%)
27
73%
27%
22
Shots
7
76%
24%
4
Shots on Target
3
57%
43%
18
Shots off Target
4
82%
18%
7
Corners
3
70%
30%
5
Fouls
12
29%
71%
1
Yellow Cards
4
20%
80%
1
Red Cards
2
33%
67%
-1
Offsides
-1
50%
50%
67
Dangerous Attacks
36
65%
35%
105
Attacks
49
68%
32%
Possession
73%
-
27%
Shots on Target
4
-
3
Corners
7
-
3
Total Cards
8
(5 yellows,
3 reds)