14/03/2026
16:00
BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
75%
Both teams to score
BTTS 1st Half
75%
Both to score in 1st half
Goals - Over/Under
0.5 Goals
Over
100.0%
1.5 Goals
Over
100.0%
2.5 Goals
Over
25.0%
Under
75.0%
3.5 Goals
Over
25.0%
Under
75.0%
4.5 Goals
Under
100.0%
Goals by Half
Over 0.5 Goals 2H
25.0%
2nd half
Over 1.5 Goals 2H
25.0%
2nd half
Corners - Over/Under
Overall Corners Potential
16.5
expected corners
8.5 Corners
Over
75.0%
9.5 Corners
Over
75.0%
10.5 Corners
Over
50.0%
Cards - Over/Under
Overall Cards Potential
4.5
expected cards
Starting Line-ups
CSD Independiente del Valle
1
Miguel Angel Peralta Quiñonez
Midfielder
7
Patrik Kleiver Mercado Altamirano
Midfielder
10
Júnior Nazareno Sornoza Moreira
Midfielder
11
Matías Mijail Perello
Midfielder
13
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
Midfielder
14
Mateo Carabajal
Defender
19
Layan Manuel Loor Requelme
Defender
23
Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia
Defender
31
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodriguez
Midfielder
32
Jhegson Sebastián Méndez Carabalí
Midfielder
99
Djorkaeff Neicer Reasco González
Midfielder
SD Aucas
3
John Jairo Ontaneda Campos
Defender
6
Agostino Luigi Spina
Midfielder
7
Bruno Miranda Villagomez
Forward
11
Alexander David Bolaños Casierra
Forward
13
Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez
Goalkeeper
16
Luis Carlos Gustavino Chila
Midfielder
18
Andrés David Mena Montenegro
Midfielder
19
Carlos Andrés Cuero Quiñónez
Midfielder
21
Piero Andrés Guzmán Arrobo
Midfielder
28
Ederson Robiño Quiñónez Medina
Midfielder
37
Alex Rodrigo Zova Cacierra
Midfielder
Substitutes
CSD Independiente del Valle
2
Luis Felipe Zárate Cardozo
Defender
4
Jhon Jairo Espinoza Izquierdo
Midfielder
8
12
Eduardo David Bores Díaz
Midfielder
15
Gustavo Orlando Cortez Quiñónez
Defender
16
Ronald Elain Briones Legarda
Midfielder
17
18
Steven Daniel Gongóra Palacios
Midfielder
50
51
Deinner Eliut Ordóñez Corozo
Midfielder
52
53
SD Aucas
1
Iván Faustino Chaves
Midfielder
2
Santiago Morales
Midfielder
5
10
Eduar Ayrton Preciado Garcia
Midfielder
29
33
55
Mauricio Virgilio Olaya Campos
Midfielder
57
89
Alexander Sebastián Sosa
Forward
91
Danny Gabriel Luna Morán
Midfielder
99
Erick Japa
Midfielder
Home PPG
2.33
Points per Game
Away PPG
1.00
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
2.23
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
2.25
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
4.48
Expected Goals
SD Aucas
Results
8
Matches
1
3
Wins
0
2
Draws
1
3
Losses
0
1.38
Points per Game
1.00
Goals
11
Goals Scored
0
9
Goals Conceded
0
1.38
Avg Goals Scored
0.00
1.13
Avg Goals Conceded
0.00
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
88%
Over 1.5 %
0%
38%
Over 2.5 %
0%
25%
Over 3.5 %
0%
38%
Clean Sheet %
100%
Performance
56.0%
Avg Possession %
48.0%
5.3
Avg Shots on Target
0.0
48
Total Corners
5
6.0
Avg Corners
5.0
16
Total Cards
2
2.0
Avg Cards
2.0
Total Matches
8
CSD Independiente del Valle
Total Matches
1
SD Aucas
Total Goals
11
Home
Total Goals
0
Away
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
CSD Independiente del Valle host SD Aucas in Week 4 of the 2026 season, with the home side clear favourites at 1.50 on the win. Aucas sit around 5.00, and the draw is 3.80—odds that align with a predicted, high-energy Ecuadorian derby.
Goal flow: First halves tend to be prolific here, with over 1.5 goals and BTTS both at 100% historically for these teams in the opening 45 minutes. In this pair, BTTS is a likely bet (1.90).
Overall scoring pace: The historic xG between these teams sits around 4.48 per game, and both sides arrive with strong xG figures—home team ~1.76 xG for, ~0.66 against; away team ~1.55 xG for, ~1.05 against. A 2.5-goal game feels plausible; over 2.5 at 1.90 is a solid angle, with over 3.5 at 3.08 as a hedge if it opens up.
Match dynamics: The trend toward more corners is pronounced—average corners per match here skews high (around 16.5). Betting angles leaning toward overload on corners are sensible: Over 8.5 at 1.43, Over 9.5 at 1.97.
Safe-ish bets: A CSD win or draw stands at 1.21, and a win for either side with a draw is 2.33 for Aucas. If aiming for a tighter angle, consider the BTTS yes plus over 2.5 combo: aligns with the 75% BTTS average and the goal-rich first half.
Key stat to watch: Pre-match points favor the home side (3.00 vs 1.00), and CSD’s home xG (1.76) suggests they’ll carry the momentum. Aucas’ away xG (1.55) indicates they’ll contribute, not merely react.
Bottom line: expect a lively 90 minutes with goals early, a clear home edge, and a high corner count. If you’re chasing a single angle, BTTS and Over 2.5 goals pair well with the corner bets for a concise, no-nonsense ticket.
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - CSD Independiente del Valle
1
Júnior Sornoza
Midfielder
2
goals
2
Matías Mijail Perello
Midfielder
2
goals
Top Scorers - SD Aucas
1
Bruno Miranda Villagomez
Forward
6
goals
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
11/07/2026
21:00
SD Aucas
21:00
⚡ Match Events
12'
Júnior Nazareno Sornoza Moreira
Assist: Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia
CSD Independiente del Valle
17'
Layan Manuel Loor Requelme
CSD Independiente del Valle
21'
Carlos Andrés Cuero Quiñónez
SD Aucas
29'
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodriguez
Assist: Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
CSD Independiente del Valle
32'
Bruno Miranda Villagomez
SD Aucas
47'
Bruno Miranda Villagomez
Assist: Andrés David Mena Montenegro
SD Aucas
60'
Bruno Miranda Villagomez
SD Aucas
76'
Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia
CSD Independiente del Valle
85'
Piero Andrés Guzmán Arrobo
SD Aucas
SD Aucas
Match Statistics
54
Possession (%)
46
54%
46%
11
Shots
10
52%
48%
5
Shots on Target
7
42%
58%
6
Shots off Target
3
67%
33%
5
Corners
7
42%
58%
5
Fouls
10
33%
67%
1
Yellow Cards
2
33%
67%
1
Red Cards
1
50%
50%
0
Offsides
3
0%
100%
54
Dangerous Attacks
33
62%
38%
87
Attacks
64
58%
42%
Possession
54%
-
46%
Shots on Target
5
-
7
Corners
5
-
7
Total Cards
5
(3 yellows,
2 reds)