Virtus Entella vs Carrarese – Serie B Statistics

Preview Virtus Entella host Carrarese at Stadio Comunale Chiavari on the final day of the 2025/26 season. Odds tilt to Entella (1.70) with a safe double-chance option at 1.25. The match carries the usual final-day jitter—home comfort against a visiting side likely to struggle on the road. Key numbers that matter Expected goals: Entella 1.58 vs Carrarese 1.33. Combined xG this pairing is around 2.91 per game historically. Home advantage: Entella at home shows xG for around 1.58 and xG against around 1.26; win-rate at home about 44%. Away woes for Carrarese: away win percentage near 17%; away xG for 1.33, against ~1.50. BTTS average: 64% across these teams; first half BTTS is typically low (about 12%), while the second half rises to around 39%. Total goals trend: overall match xG around 2.91; high likelihood of at least one goal (Over 0.5 at 1.06) and a strong chance of multiple goals (Over 2.5 at 2.00). Markets to watch Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals favored by many bettors (2.00). Over 3.5 at 3.12 offers a small exposure for a late rally. BTTS: Yes at 1.85 looks solid given the 64% BTTS pre-match trend; but expect most BTTS to occur after the break (2nd half ~39%). Double Chance: Virtus Entella Win or Draw at 1.25 provides cover given home edge and Carrarese away struggles. Corners: average corners per match around 11.83. Over 9.5 corners at 1.68 and Over 10.5 at 2.08 are appealing; Entella to have the most corners in the match is 1.40, while Carrarese for most corners is 3.10. Prediction snapshot Primary bet: Over 2.5 goals (2.00) — two teams capable of creating chances, with Entella slightly favoured to edge ahead at home. BTTS: Yes (1.85) — aligns with the 64% BTTS trend and the xG levels. Safe pick: Virtus Entella Win or Draw (1.25) — taps the home advantage and the safer half of the market. Note: This is a final-day fixture at a venue where Entella show notable home metrics, but Carrarese’s away record means a competitive test is likely. Market dynamics suggest a lively, goal-rich 90 minutes with a respectable chance of mid-to-high corner counts.