Cesena vs Calcio Padova – Serie B Statistics
08/05/2026
15:30
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
53%
Both teams to score
BTTS 1st Half
17%
Both to score in 1st half
BTTS 2nd Half
28%
Both to score in 2nd half
Goals - Over/Under
0.5 Goals
Over
94.0%
Under
6.0%
1.5 Goals
Over
67.0%
Under
34.0%
2.5 Goals
Over
48.0%
Under
53.0%
3.5 Goals
Over
25.0%
Under
75.0%
4.5 Goals
Over
9.0%
Under
92.0%
Goals by Half
Over 0.5 Goals 2H
72.0%
2nd half
Over 1.5 Goals 2H
36.0%
2nd half
Corners - Over/Under
Overall Corners Potential
9.5
expected corners
8.5 Corners
Over
62.0%
9.5 Corners
Over
50.0%
10.5 Corners
Over
34.0%
Cards - Over/Under
Overall Cards Potential
5.2
expected cards
Shots, Attacks & Offsides
Offsides Potential
3.9
expected offsides
Starting Line-ups
Cesena
1
Alessandro Siano
Goalkeeper
7
Alberto Cerri
Forward
9
Cristian Shpendi
Forward
10
Simone Bastoni
Midfielder
14
Tommaso Berti
Midfielder
15
Andrea Ciofi
Defender
19
Giovanni Zaro
Defender
24
Massimiliano Mangraviti
Defender
25
Dimitri Bisoli
Midfielder
27
Tommaso Corazza
Defender
32
Marco Olivieri
Forward
Calcio Padova
5
Marco Perrotta
Defender
8
Pietro Fusi
Forward
11
Alessandro Seghetti
Midfielder
14
Mattia Fortin
Goalkeeper
18
Paolo Ghiglione
Defender
23
Luca Di Maggio
Midfielder
24
Gianluca Caprari
Forward
41
Jonathan Silva Pertinhes
Midfielder
58
Christian Diego Pastina
Defender
72
Carlo Faedo
Defender
86
Giovanni Giunti
Midfielder
Substitutes
Cesena
4
6
Tommaso Arrigoni
Midfielder
8
Gaetano Castrovilli
Midfielder
11
18
Matteo Guidi
Midfielder
22
23
Vittorio Magni
Midfielder
26
Matteo Piacentini
Defender
40
Luca Ferretti
Goalkeeper
70
Matteo Francesconi
Midfielder
77
Frederik Tosku
Midfielder
99
Gianluca Frabotta
Defender
Calcio Padova
1
Louis Moise Nascimento Mouquet
Goalkeeper
4
Francesco Belli
Defender
6
Lorenzo Crisetig
Midfielder
7
13
17
20
Mattia Bortolussi
Forward
21
Midfielder
22
Alessandro Sorrentino
Goalkeeper
30
77
Francesco Di Mariano
Forward
92
Home PPG
1.26
Points per Game
Away PPG
1.11
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
1.56
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
1.06
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
2.62
Expected Goals
Calcio Padova
Results
1
Matches
1
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
1.00
Points per Game
0.00
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
2
0.00
Avg Goals Scored
0.00
0.00
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
0%
Over 1.5 %
100%
0%
Over 2.5 %
0%
0%
Over 3.5 %
0%
100%
Clean Sheet %
0%
Performance
51.0%
Avg Possession %
56.0%
2.0
Avg Shots on Target
3.0
3
Total Corners
4
3.0
Avg Corners
4.0
2
Total Cards
1
2.0
Avg Cards
1.0
Total Matches
1
Cesena
Total Matches
1
Calcio Padova
Total Goals
0
Home
Total Goals
0
Away
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
Cesena vs Calcio Padova — Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, matchweek 38, 2025/26. The numbers sketch a home-favoured closer with a busy end-product and a edge in attacking metrics for Cesena.
Predicted result: Cesena to win (1.63). Double Chance Cesena Win or Draw at 1.22 keeps the safe angle if you want cover. Padova 4.50 for the outright, not the likeliest path.
Goals and xG: Combined xG around 2.62, with Cesena at home producing about 1.56 xG and Padova away around 1.06. That aligns with a match likely to clear 2 goals; Over 2.5 at 1.75 is a solid value, given the 2.62 baseline and BTTS potential (Yes at 1.72).
BTTS angle: Yes is priced at 1.72, supported by a historical BTTS rate around 53% for these teams. Expect both nets to test the goalkeeper at least once.
Corners: Average total corners in these head-to-heads sits near 9.45. Over 9.5 at 1.90 and Over 8.5 at 1.56 look playable, especially with Cesena shown as the side more likely to rack up the corners (Cesena to have more corners at 1.35).
Home vs away context: Cesena’s home form shows a modest win rate (about 33%) but an attacking edge at home (+22). Padova travel with a lower win rate (around 28%) and weaker away xG against (1.79), while their away xG for is only 1.06. The balance tips toward Cesena’s attack and home advantage.
Market sanity check: Over 1.5 goals is priced into the odds (1.25), Over 0.5 virtually guaranteed (1.04). The 2.5 line represents the clear value play given the xG signals and the 2.62 benchmark.
Key takeaway: betting on Cesena to win with both teams scoring, and layering in Over 2.5 goals and Over 9.5 corners offers a coherent, data-backed angle for a short window. If you want a safer scalp, go Cesena W/D (1.22) with BTTS and Over 2.5 as core bets.
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - Cesena
1
Cristian Shpendi
Forward
12
goals
Top Scorers - Calcio Padova
1
Mattia Bortolussi
Forward
10
goals
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
08/12/2025
11:00
Calcio Padova
1
-
1
Draw
⚡ Match Events
2'
Luca Di Maggio
Calcio Padova
5'
Cristian Shpendi
Assist: Alberto Cerri
Cesena
7'
Alberto Cerri
Assist: Cristian Shpendi
Cesena
13'
Luca Di Maggio
Assist: Paolo Ghiglione
Calcio Padova
17'
Gianluca Caprari
Assist: Pietro Fusi
Calcio Padova
45'
Cristian Shpendi
Assist: Marco Olivieri
Cesena
50'
Marco Perrotta
Calcio Padova
51'
Massimiliano Mangraviti
Cesena
70'
Giovanni Giunti
Calcio Padova
84'
Alessandro Seghetti
Assist: Alessandro Capelli
Calcio Padova
87'
Christian Diego Pastina
Calcio Padova
90'
Marco Olivieri
Cesena
Calcio Padova
Match Statistics
59
Possession (%)
41
59%
41%
30
Shots
13
70%
30%
10
Shots on Target
7
59%
41%
20
Shots off Target
6
77%
23%
11
Corners
3
79%
21%
12
Fouls
11
52%
48%
2
Yellow Cards
3
40%
60%
0
Red Cards
0
50%
50%
2
Offsides
0
100%
0%
82
Dangerous Attacks
47
64%
36%
122
Attacks
84
59%
41%
Possession
59%
-
41%
Shots on Target
10
-
7
Corners
11
-
3
Total Cards
5
(5 yellows,
0 reds)