Cremonese vs Pisa – Serie A Statistics

Stadio Giovanni Zini hosts a cautious 36th‑minute clash as Cremonese welcome Pisa. The books tilt slightly in favour of the home side (1.70), but the data paints a tighter picture than the label suggests: Cremonese’s home win rate sits at 12%, while Pisa arrive with a history of fragility away from home (53% loss rate). Key stats to weigh Goal expectations: Cremonese xG at home 1.19; Pisa xG away 1.03 — combined xG around 2.22 per game between them. BTTS: 53% average across both teams; this match sits in that zone, with BTTS Yes at 2.00 and BTTS No at 1.75. Over/Under: Over 2.5 Goals 2.10 (historical trend shows 53% over 2.5); Over 1.5 is even more favorable at 1.36. Corners: total averages around 7.06. Over 7.5 at 1.38 looks robust; Cremonese is slightly favored to have the most corners (1.73). Clean sheets: Cremonese clean sheets Yes at 2.10; Pisa clean sheets Yes at 4.33 — indicates a game with at least one goal is likely, but a shutout for either side is not a given. What you’re likely to see Goal timing: expect activity across both halves, but second-half likelihood for BTTS sits higher than the first half (average 27% vs 15%). Expect a tight, merit‑based game with a leaning toward a single clear moment rather than a goal spree. Predictions (tight, data-driven) Scoreline likely: 1-1 or 2-1 to Cremonese (home advantage tempered by Pisa’s away resilience). BTTS: Yes is a reasonable bet given the 53% benchmark. Total goals: Over 2.5 is plausible, but don’t be surprised by a 1-0 or 1-1 feel in a closely contested affair. Top betting angles Double Chance: Cremonese Win or Draw (1.25) — solid given home edge balanced by Pisa’s away risk. Over/Under: Over 2.5 Goals (2.10) and Over 1.5 Goals (1.36) are strong combos if you want a pushy bet without breaking the bank. BTTS Yes (2.00) aligns with the general BTTS landscape for these teams. Corners: Over 7.5 Corners (1.38) or Over 8.5 (1.66) offer a smoother path given the near‑even corner duel and the 7.06 average. Special note: Cremonese to have most corners (1.73) is a tempting angle if you’re targeting a narrower forecast.