AC Milan vs Atalanta – Serie A Statistics
BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
53%
Both teams to score
BTTS 1st Half
15%
Both to score in 1st half
BTTS 2nd Half
27%
Both to score in 2nd half
Goals - Over/Under
0.5 Goals
Over
94.0%
Under
6.0%
1.5 Goals
Over
71.0%
Under
30.0%
2.5 Goals
Over
41.0%
Under
59.0%
3.5 Goals
Over
18.0%
Under
82.0%
4.5 Goals
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Goals by Half
Over 0.5 Goals 2H
79.0%
2nd half
Over 1.5 Goals 2H
32.0%
2nd half
Corners - Over/Under
Overall Corners Potential
9.8
expected corners
8.5 Corners
Over
56.0%
9.5 Corners
Over
50.0%
10.5 Corners
Over
35.0%
Cards - Over/Under
Overall Cards Potential
3.8
expected cards
Shots, Attacks & Offsides
Offsides Potential
3.8
expected offsides
Starting Line-ups
AC Milan
4
Samuele Ricci
Midfielder
5
Koni De Winter
Defender
7
Santiago Tomás Giménez
Forward
8
Ruben Ira Loftus-Cheek
Midfielder
10
Rafael Alexandre Conceição Leão
Forward
12
Adrien Rabiot
Midfielder
16
Mike Maignan
Goalkeeper
31
Strahinja Pavlović
Defender
33
Davide Bartesaghi
Defender
46
Matteo Gabbia
Defender
56
Alexis Saelemaekers
Midfielder
Atalanta
4
Isak Hien
Midfielder
13
Ederson Jose dos Santos Lourenco da Silva
Midfielder
15
Marten de Roon
Midfielder
17
Charles De Ketelaere
Midfielder
18
Giacomo Raspadori
Forward
23
Sead Kolašinac
Defender
29
Marco Carnesecchi
Goalkeeper
42
Giorgio Scalvini
Defender
59
Nicola Zalewski
Midfielder
77
Davide Zappacosta
Defender
90
Nikola Krstović
Forward
Substitutes
AC Milan
1
Pietro Terracciano
Goalkeeper
2
9
18
19
24
27
David Uyoyo Odogu
Defender
30
Ardon Jasari
Midfielder
37
Matteo Pittarella
Goalkeeper
Atalanta
3
5
Mitchel Bakker
Defender
6
Yunus Musah
Midfielder
7
Kamal Deen Sulemana
Forward
8
9
Gianluca Scamacca
Forward
10
Lazar Vujadin Samardžić
Midfielder
16
31
Francesco Rossi
Goalkeeper
40
Relja Obrić
Defender
45
Dominic Vavassori
Forward
57
Marco Sportiello
Goalkeeper
69
Home PPG
1.78
Points per Game
Away PPG
1.39
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
1.72
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
1.41
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
3.13
Expected Goals
Atalanta
Results
36
Matches
12
19
Wins
5
10
Draws
1
7
Losses
6
1.86
Points per Game
1.33
Goals
50
Goals Scored
16
32
Goals Conceded
23
1.39
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
0.89
Avg Goals Conceded
1.92
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
64%
Over 1.5 %
75%
42%
Over 2.5 %
67%
19%
Over 3.5 %
42%
42%
Clean Sheet %
25%
Performance
52.0%
Avg Possession %
49.0%
4.4
Avg Shots on Target
4.4
153
Total Corners
48
4.3
Avg Corners
4.0
62
Total Cards
19
1.7
Avg Cards
1.6
Total Matches
36
AC Milan
Total Matches
12
Atalanta
Total Goals
50
Home
Total Goals
16
Away
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
AC Milan vs Atalanta • GW36 • 2025/26 • Stadio Giuseppe Meazza • Kick-off May 11
Lights out on the counter and a nervy finish to the season. Milan are slight favorites at home (2.05) with a 53% win-rate at the venue, while Atalanta travel with roughly a 29% away-win profile. The odds mirror a tight, punctured encounter rather than a free-scoring night.
BTTS Yes (1.63) suggests both nets are possible, though clean sheets aren’t a given for either side (Milan 2.95; Atalanta 4.20).
Double Chance Milan Win or Draw at 1.29 offers a safety net in a game likely to stay between the lines.
Over/Under goals: Over 2.5 at 1.80 indicates a lean to goals but the broader data favours a tighter 90 minutes (Under 2.5 at 2.00 is a common outcome historically).
Corners: totals skew toward busier moments; Over 7.5 corners at 1.30 and Over 9.5 at 2.16 are viable, with Milan often holding the edge for corners (Milan having most corners in the match at 1.80).
First half tends to be cautious but with a decent chance of a goal before the break (Over 0.5 goals in 1st half at 68% historically; BTTS in 1st half only 15%).
Why this could play out
The average total goals across these teams before this match sits at 2.30, hinting at a low-to-mid scoring affair rather than a free-scoring shootout.
Attacking xG is present for both sides, but Milan’s home xG (1.72) sits in line with their typical output, while Atalanta’s away xG (1.41) edges toward a compact approach if they concede early.
Historical patterns show a strong tendency to keep games tight with a high probability of under 2.5 goals and a decent share of corners, making a cautious, counter-pinned contest likely.
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - AC Milan
1
Rafael Leão
Forward
9
goals
2
Christian Pulisic
Forward
8
goals
Top Scorers - Atalanta
1
Gianluca Scamacca
Forward
10
goals
2
Nikola Krstović
Forward
10
goals
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
28/10/2025
16:45
Atalanta
1
-
1
Draw
⚡ Match Events
7'
Ederson Jose dos Santos Lourenco da Silva
Atalanta
29'
Davide Zappacosta
Assist: Nikola Krstović
Atalanta
34'
Rafael Alexandre Conceição Leão
AC Milan
51'
Giacomo Raspadori
Assist: Ederson Jose dos Santos Lourenco da Silva
Atalanta
70'
Isak Hien
Atalanta
88'
Strahinja Pavlović
Assist: Samuele Ricci
AC Milan
89'
Adrien Rabiot
AC Milan
89'
Pervis Josué Estupiñán Tenorio
AC Milan
90'
Christopher Nkunku
AC Milan
90'
Alexis Saelemaekers
AC Milan
90'
Nikola Krstović
Atalanta
90'
Raoul Bellanova
Atalanta
Atalanta
Match Statistics
58
Possession (%)
42
58%
42%
20
Shots
9
69%
31%
9
Shots on Target
5
64%
36%
11
Shots off Target
4
73%
27%
2
Corners
2
50%
50%
8
Fouls
17
32%
68%
3
Yellow Cards
3
50%
50%
0
Red Cards
0
50%
50%
2
Offsides
2
50%
50%
50
Dangerous Attacks
26
66%
34%
135
Attacks
72
65%
35%
Possession
58%
-
42%
Shots on Target
9
-
5
Corners
2
-
2
Total Cards
6
(6 yellows,
0 reds)