São Paulo vs Bahia – Serie A Statistics
BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
42%
Both teams to score
BTTS 1st Half
17%
Both to score in 1st half
BTTS 2nd Half
17%
Both to score in 2nd half
Goals - Over/Under
0.5 Goals
Over
100.0%
1.5 Goals
Over
67.0%
Under
33.0%
2.5 Goals
Over
42.0%
Under
59.0%
3.5 Goals
Over
17.0%
Under
83.0%
4.5 Goals
Over
17.0%
Under
83.0%
Goals by Half
Over 0.5 Goals 2H
67.0%
2nd half
Over 1.5 Goals 2H
42.0%
2nd half
Corners - Over/Under
Overall Corners Potential
11.5
expected corners
8.5 Corners
Over
67.0%
9.5 Corners
Over
67.0%
10.5 Corners
Over
50.0%
Cards - Over/Under
Overall Cards Potential
3.5
expected cards
Shots, Attacks & Offsides
Offsides Potential
4.0
expected offsides
Starting Line-ups
São Paulo
9
Jonathan Calleri
Forward
10
Luciano da Rocha Neves
Forward
16
Damián Bobadilla
Midfielder
18
Wendell Nascimento Borges
Defender
19
Lucas Ramon Batista Silva
Defender
23
Rafael Pires Monteiro
Goalkeeper
28
Alan Javier Franco
Defender
35
José Sabino Chagas Monteiro
Defender
37
Artur Victor Guimarães
Forward
80
Cauly Oliveira Souza
Midfielder
94
Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo
Midfielder
Bahia
5
Nicolás Brian Acevedo Tabárez
Midfielder
6
Jean Lucas de Souza Oliveira
Midfielder
10
Everton Augusto de Barros Ribeiro
Midfielder
12
Willian José da Silva
Forward
14
Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho
Midfielder
16
Midfielder
21
Santiago Ramos Mingo
Defender
22
Leonardo Da Silva Vieira
Goalkeeper
33
David de Duarte Macedo
Defender
46
Luciano Batista da Silva Junior
Defender
99
Cristian Gonzalo Olivera Ibarra
Forward
Substitutes
São Paulo
4
Matheus Dória Macedo
Defender
7
11
13
14
Gonzalo Andrés Tapia Dubournais
Forward
17
André Oliveira Silva
Forward
21
31
Carlos Miguel Coronel
Goalkeeper
33
45
Lucca Marques Alencar
Midfielder
48
Djhordney Ferreira
Midfielder
54
Luis Osorio Messias de Oliveira
Defender
Bahia
2
Gilberto Moraes Júnior
Defender
3
Gabriel Lhman Xavier
Midfielder
4
Victor Hugo Soares dos Santos
Defender
7
11
Rodrigo Nestor Bertalia
Midfielder
15
23
25
Iago Amaral Borduchi
Defender
27
Everaldo Stum
Forward
31
Román Gómez
Midfielder
34
João Paulo Silva Martins
Goalkeeper
44
Marcos Victor Ferreira da Silva
Defender
Home PPG
2.29
Points per Game
Away PPG
1.86
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
1.40
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
1.25
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
2.65
Expected Goals
Bahia
Results
4
Matches
2
2
Wins
0
2
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
2.00
Points per Game
0.50
Goals
3
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
2
0.75
Avg Goals Scored
0.00
0.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
25%
Over 1.5 %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 %
0%
0%
Over 3.5 %
0%
100%
Clean Sheet %
50%
Performance
53.0%
Avg Possession %
70.0%
2.5
Avg Shots on Target
3.5
21
Total Corners
6
5.3
Avg Corners
3.0
9
Total Cards
5
2.3
Avg Cards
2.5
Total Matches
4
São Paulo
Total Matches
2
Bahia
Total Goals
3
Home
Total Goals
0
Away
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
São Paulo host Bahia at Morumbí in Week 14 of the 2026 season. The fortress at home matters here: home wins sit around 83%, and the attack/defence balance at Morumbi tilts in favor of the hosts. The numbers also show a tidy xG picture: São Paulo averaging 1.40 xG at home, while Bahia travel with 1.25 xG away, and the two teams together have an average match xG around 2.65 in this matchup history.
Predicted outcome: São Paulo to win is the favored angle (2.05), with a safe Double Chance São Paulo Win or Draw at 1.33.
Goals: Expected total around 2.3–2.5; Over 2.5 goals at 2.10 is a solid angle, while Under 3.5 is a strong fallback given the typical 83% rate for Under 3.5 in these matchups.
BTTS: Yes at 1.84 vs No at 1.86 makes this a coin-flip, aligning with a mid-range 42% BTTS average).
Corners: A high-corner affair is plausible (average around 11.5). Over 9.5 corners at 1.80 stands out as a value angle.
Headline pick: São Paulo win with over 2.5 goals and a healthy corner tally. A 2-1 home win aligns with the home-edge, goal expectations, and the corner potential.
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - São Paulo
1
Jonathan Calleri
Forward
6
goals
2
Luciano da Rocha Neves
Forward
5
goals
3
Aldemir dos Santos Ferreira
Forward
4
goals
Top Scorers - Bahia
1
Luciano Batista da Silva Junior
Defender
7
goals
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
27/10/2026
21:00
Bahia
21:00
⚡ Match Events
17'
Artur Victor Guimarães
Assist: Wendell Nascimento Borges
São Paulo
41'
Nicolás Brian Acevedo Tabárez
Bahia
45'
Damián Bobadilla
São Paulo
62'
Luciano Batista da Silva Junior
Assist: Everton Augusto de Barros Ribeiro
Bahia
73'
Aldemir dos Santos Ferreira
Assist: Jonathan Calleri
São Paulo
81'
Enzo Hernán Díaz
São Paulo
90'
Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho
Bahia
90'
Jonathan Calleri
São Paulo
90'
André Oliveira Silva
São Paulo
90'
Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho
Bahia
90'
Mateo Sanabria
Bahia
Bahia
Match Statistics
39
Possession (%)
61
39%
61%
18
Shots
19
49%
51%
8
Shots on Target
8
50%
50%
10
Shots off Target
11
48%
52%
14
Corners
10
58%
42%
12
Fouls
12
50%
50%
4
Yellow Cards
3
57%
43%
0
Red Cards
0
50%
50%
2
Offsides
0
100%
0%
43
Dangerous Attacks
67
39%
61%
65
Attacks
105
38%
62%
Possession
39%
-
61%
Shots on Target
8
-
8
Corners
14
-
10
Total Cards
7
(7 yellows,
0 reds)