Aberdeen vs St. Mirren – Premiership Statistics

Aberdeen vs St. Mirren, Pittodrie, 2025/26 — Week 37. Status: incomplete. Kick-off: May 13. Odds snapshot shows a tight market: Aberdeen 2.46, Draw 3.28, St. Mirren 2.77. The curve is lean toward a home bite, but the gap is narrow enough to suggest a close 90 minutes. Goal pace and xG: Aberdeen (home) 1.44 xG; St. Mirren away 1.30 xG. Combined xG prior to this match sits at 2.74, right on the overall average for these fixtures. That points to a match with goals but not a free-for-all. Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals at 1.78, Under 2.5 at 1.83. Historical tendency: Under 2.5% around 58% (i.e., under more common than over), but this pair sits near a balanced space with a slight tilt toward goals given xG totals. BTTS: Yes at 1.58, No at 2.20. With BTTS average around 56%, this line sits in a favorable zone for both teams to score. Corners: A high-volume game is plausible. Over 7.5 corners at 1.19, Over 9.5 at 1.58, and Over 10.5 at 1.92 look stronger given the fixture’s historical corner density (average around 11.56 per match). Aberdeen is flagged as having notable corner activity in these matchups, with the line favoring higher totals. Clean sheets: Aberdeen Yes 2.95 / No 1.35; St. Mirren Yes 3.55 / No 1.25. The lower “No” odds imply a reasonable expectation of goals against both sides, i.e., goals likely for both teams rather than a tight clean sheet for either. Home vs away dynamics: Aberdeen shows a stronger attacking presence at home, while St. Mirren’s away win-rate is notably low. This tilt supports a home-side edge with scoring both ends a genuine possibility. What to bet on (quick picks): Main bet: Aberdeen to win and BTTS Yes. The home attack edge combined with a high BTTS propensity makes this a solid, balanced angle. Alternative: Over 2.5 goals and Over 9.5 corners. If you’re chasing a single-game narrative, the scoring and corner volume align with the fixture profile. Safe angle: Double Chance Aberdeen Win or Draw (1.38). A prudent hedge given the close odds and home advantage. Bottom line: a late-season, high-activity contest at Pittodrie with goals looming and corners stacking up. Expect a tense 2-1 or 1-1 feel, with both sides contributing to the scoreboard and a busy number of set-piece opportunities.