Hibernian vs Hearts – Premiership Statistics
BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
44%
Both teams to score
BTTS 1st Half
19%
Both to score in 1st half
BTTS 2nd Half
28%
Both to score in 2nd half
Goals - Over/Under
0.5 Goals
Over
91.0%
Under
10.0%
1.5 Goals
Over
75.0%
Under
25.0%
2.5 Goals
Over
53.0%
Under
47.0%
3.5 Goals
Over
31.0%
Under
69.0%
4.5 Goals
Over
19.0%
Under
81.0%
Goals by Half
Over 0.5 Goals 2H
78.0%
2nd half
Over 1.5 Goals 2H
47.0%
2nd half
Corners - Over/Under
Overall Corners Potential
11.6
expected corners
8.5 Corners
Over
85.0%
9.5 Corners
Over
69.0%
10.5 Corners
Over
51.0%
Cards - Over/Under
Overall Cards Potential
3.9
expected cards
Shots, Attacks & Offsides
Offsides Potential
2.4
expected offsides
Starting Line-ups
Hibernian
1
Raphael Sallinger
Goalkeeper
5
Warren Patrick O'Hora
Defender
10
Martin Boyle
Forward
14
Midfielder
17
Jamie McGrath
Midfielder
19
Nicholas Cadden
Midfielder
21
Jordan John Obita
Defender
22
Daniel Barlaser
Midfielder
25
Felix Passlack
Defender
33
Rocky Bushiri
Defender
47
Owen Elding
Midfielder
Hearts
3
Stephen Kingsley
Defender
4
Craig Peter Halkett
Defender
6
Beni Baningime
Midfielder
9
Lawrence Shankland
Forward
10
Cláudio Rafael Soares Braga
Forward
11
Pierre Landry Kabore
Defender
15
Michael Steinwender
Defender
19
Stuart Findlay
Defender
23
Jordi Altena
Midfielder
25
Alexander Schwolow
Goalkeeper
49
Marc Henry Leonard
Midfielder
Substitutes
Hibernian
11
12
Christopher Cadden
Midfielder
13
15
Jack Henry Stewart Iredale
Defender
27
28
Kai Andrews
Midfielder
32
44
Dane Scarlett
Forward
77
Hearts
2
Frankie Kent
Defender
5
16
17
Alan Forrest
Forward
29
30
Ryan Fulton
Goalkeeper
74
Rogers Mato
Forward
89
99
Home PPG
1.76
Points per Game
Away PPG
1.76
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
1.73
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
1.56
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
3.29
Expected Goals
Hearts
Results
2
Matches
36
0
Wins
23
1
Draws
8
1
Losses
5
0.50
Points per Game
2.14
Goals
2
Goals Scored
63
3
Goals Conceded
31
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.75
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
0.86
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
100%
Over 1.5 %
69%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0%
Over 3.5 %
28%
0%
Clean Sheet %
44%
Performance
33.0%
Avg Possession %
54.0%
3.5
Avg Shots on Target
5.1
6
Total Corners
201
3.0
Avg Corners
5.6
9
Total Cards
74
4.5
Avg Cards
2.1
Total Matches
2
Hibernian
Total Matches
36
Hearts
Total Goals
2
Home
Total Goals
63
Away
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
Edinburgh derby arrives at Easter Road in GW34, a fixture where local pride meets a data-set that sits on a knife-edge. The balance tilts between home comfort for Hibernian and Hearts’ away menace, with the kickoff on April 27.
Key numbers at a glance
Total goals: likely 2–3; Under 3.5 goals is favored (1.30) given a historical average around 3.29 xG per Hibernian–Hearts meeting.
BTTS: Yes (1.70) keeps faith with both teams contributing, though No (2.05) remains viable in a tight derby.
Corners: expect a high count, around 9–12; Over 9.5 corners at 1.38 and the fixture tends to push well over seven corners.
Double Chance: Hibernian Win or Draw 1.33; Hearts Win or Draw 1.40 — a hedge for a balanced clash.
Attack/defence snapshot: Hibernian’s home xG ~1.73, Hearts away xG ~1.56; home advantage and Edinburgh derby intensity can tilt the scoring ladder.
Prediction and bet guidance
Main call: Hearts win 2–1. Supporting angles: BTTS Yes, Over 2.5 goals, and Over 9.5 corners offer value given the fixture’s scoring rhythm and corner volume.
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - Hibernian
1
Kieran Bowie
Forward
8
goals
2
Jamie McGrath
Midfielder
8
goals
3
Martin Boyle
Forward
7
goals
Top Scorers - Hearts
1
Lawrence Shankland
Forward
15
goals
2
Cláudio Rafael Soares Braga
Forward
14
goals
Head-to-Head (Last 3)
10/02/2026
17:00
Hearts
1
-
0
Home
27/12/2025
09:30
Hibernian
3
-
2
Home
04/10/2025
13:45
Hearts
1
-
0
Home
⚡ Match Events
7'
Martin Boyle
Assist: Jamie McGrath
Hibernian
14'
Raphael Sallinger
Hibernian
45'
Warren Patrick O'Hora
Hibernian
45'
Felix Passlack
Hibernian
45'
Stephen Kingsley
Hearts
48'
Felix Passlack
Hibernian
65'
Warren Patrick O'Hora
Hearts
86'
Blair Spittal
Assist: Sabah Kerjota
Hearts
90'
Rocky Bushiri
Hibernian
90'
Joe Newell
Hibernian
90'
Lawrence Shankland
Hearts
90'
Marc Henry Leonard
Hearts
Hearts
Match Statistics
24
Possession (%)
76
24%
76%
4
Shots
23
15%
85%
1
Shots on Target
6
14%
86%
3
Shots off Target
17
15%
85%
0
Corners
11
0%
100%
8
Fouls
17
32%
68%
4
Yellow Cards
3
57%
43%
2
Red Cards
0
100%
0%
0
Offsides
2
0%
100%
9
Dangerous Attacks
95
9%
91%
64
Attacks
138
32%
68%
Possession
24%
-
76%
Shots on Target
1
-
6
Corners
0
-
11
Total Cards
9
(7 yellows,
2 reds)