CS Marítimo vs Benfica – Portugal Liga NOS Statistics

Benfica arrive at Estádio do Marítimo as clear favourites, but the home side carry a real home-ground edge. The numbers sketch a night more about chances than cagey defending. Predicted result: Benfica win. Most probable scores: 0-2 or 1-2. Key stats to lean on: Benfica away xG: 1.95; Marítimo at home xG for: 1.34, xG against: 1.21 — suggests Benfica will create chances and Marítimo can threaten on the counter. Historical goal-rate between the teams sits around 4.75 total goals per game; this match sits in that higher-output neighborhood, supporting an Over look. Average total match xG between these sides before this game: 3.71 — still leans toward multiple goals, though there is room for a tighter final if Benfica shore things up late. First-half over 1.5 goals is historically favorable (about 75%), so an early goal or two wouldn’t surprise. Over/Under and BTTS angles: Over 2.5 goals: favorable (1.57). Over 3.5 goals: also plausible (2.40) given the goal history between these sides. BTTS: Yes (2.02) holds appeal if Benfica are aggressive from the off and Marítimo push to avoid an early debt. Corners and set-pieces: Expect a lively night around the posts — total corners often in the mid-range. Over 7.5 corners (1.35) looks reasonable; total 9.5 (1.98) not out of the question. Marítimo have shown a tendency to push for corners, while Benfica tend to convert pressure into shots. Narrative to watch: Marítimo’s home advantage is real: win rate at home around 60% historically, and their attack gets a slight boost at Estádio do Marítimo. Benfica’s defense may be tested; a clean sheet for the visitors is priced at 1.80, but the game’s 2-way risk remains lurking. Best bets (based on the data): Benfica to win Over 2.5 goals BTTS Yes Kick-off: September 06. A night where risk and reward align for those chasing a lively, goal-laden fixture.