Cremonese vs Modena – Italy Serie B Statistics

Cremonese host Modena at Stadio Giovanni Zini in Week 2 of the 2026/27 season. The odds tilt toward the home side (1.83) as they look to capitalise on the familiar lanes of their ground, while Modena arrive with away form that has largely disappointed so far this campaign. Home xG vs away xG: Cremonese 1.18 at home; Modena away xG 1.14 — both capable of scoring, but Cremonese hold the attacking edge on their patch. Away form for Modena: win rate 14%, loss rate 57% when playing away — fragile balance away from home. Head-to-head xG (Cremonese vs Modena): average 1.31 per match — expect a tight, low-scoring affair. Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 at 1.61, Over 2.5 at 2.27 — signals likely a compact game with 1-2 goals. Both teams to score: Yes 2.05, No 1.69 — with a modest likelihood of both finding the net, but not a certainty. Double Chance (Cremonese): Win or Draw 1.24 — a safer play given home edge. Corners: expect a modest total — Over 7.5 at 1.36, Under 7.5 at 2.85. Overall, corners lean towards mid-single digits rather than a high-volume plume. Insight: Cremonese’s home numbers show an attacking push (home attack advantage around 56) and a reasonable shot-quality profile (xG for at home 1.18 with 0.83 against). Modena’s away profile remains the weaker side, with limited conversion and vulnerability on the road. The average total goals between these teams is around 1.5, which supports a cautious, low-scoring outcome. Predictions and bets to consider Primary pick: Cremonese to win — aligns with home advantage and Modena’s away struggles. Scoreline feel: 1-0 or 2-1 to Cremonese is plausible given the xG profiles and the low total goals expectation. Under 2.5 goals is a strong secondary bet (1.61) given the 1.31 combined head-to-head xG and the 50% benchmark for this type of fixture. BTTS No offers a value angle (1.69) if you anticipate a tight, defensively disciplined game with limited chances for Modena in an away venue. Safe cover: Double Chance — Cremonese Win or Draw (1.24) as a protective measure in a tight match. Kickoff: August 29. Venue: Stadio Giovanni Zini. Expect a measured, defensively solid performance from the home side with Modena trying to nick it on the break, but the edge should stay with Cremonese through the 90 minutes.