Larne vs Tre Fiori - Statistics and Predictions

Windsor Park, July 15. A familiar rhythm: a home side backed by market confidence, facing a visitor with away-edge in the data yet a big mismatch in momentum. Key numbers that frame the bet: Larne win odds 1.20 — the market pins the home side as the default outcome, backed by a 60% home win rate and a home xG of 1.40 (below their season average of 1.52). Tre Fiori away win percentage 100% — eye-catching, but note the small sample behind it. Head-to-head xG around 2.07; Larne’s home xG conceded 1.29 paints a tighter game than raw odds imply. Over 1.5 goals 1.14, Over 2.5 goals 1.57 vs Under 2.5 goals 2.23 — the day leans to a goal or two, though there’s a defensively packaged outcome lurking in the numbers. BTTS Yes 2.38 vs BTTS No 1.50 — both scoring is plausible here, given Tre Fiori’s away xG (2.09) against Larne’s defensive profile. Double Chance Larne Win or Draw 1.09 — low-risk cover for the favorite. Projected score corridor: around 2-1, favoring the home side but not dismissing the visitors’ threat. Prediction: Larne to win, likely 2-1. Top bets: Larne to win; Over 1.5 goals; BTTS Yes. Value option: Under 2.5 goals if you’re seeking a tighter play.

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Top Scorers - Larne

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