06/03/2026
17:00
Tolka Park
BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
50%
Both teams to score
BTTS 2nd Half
50%
Both to score in 2nd half
Goals - Over/Under
0.5 Goals
Over
75.0%
Under
25.0%
1.5 Goals
Over
75.0%
Under
25.0%
2.5 Goals
Under
100.0%
3.5 Goals
Under
100.0%
4.5 Goals
Under
100.0%
Goals by Half
Over 0.5 Goals 2H
75.0%
2nd half
Over 1.5 Goals 2H
75.0%
2nd half
Corners - Over/Under
Overall Corners Potential
9.5
expected corners
8.5 Corners
Over
50.0%
9.5 Corners
Over
50.0%
Cards - Over/Under
Overall Cards Potential
4.0
expected cards
Shots, Attacks & Offsides
Offsides Potential
3.5
expected offsides
Starting Line-ups
Shelbourne
1
Wessel Speel
Midfielder
2
Seán Gannon
Defender
4
Kameron Malcolm Ledwidge
Defender
6
Jonathan Lunney
Defender
7
Harry Wood
Forward
9
Sean Boyd
Forward
15
Sam Bone
Defender
20
Rodrigo Costa Freitas
Midfielder
23
Kerr Mcinroy
Defender
36
William Jarvis
Midfielder
55
James Roche
Midfielder
St Patrick's Athl.
2
Seán Hoare
Defender
4
Joseph Redmond
Midfielder
10
Kian Leavy
Midfielder
11
Jason McClelland
Defender
16
Darragh Nugent
Midfielder
17
Romal Jordan Palmer
Midfielder
19
Barry Crowe-Baggley
Forward
23
James Brown
Defender
24
Luke Turner
Defender
27
Ryan Edmondson
Forward
94
Joseph Anang
Goalkeeper
Substitutes
Shelbourne
10
14
17
18
James Barry Norris
Defender
21
Jack Henry-Francis
Midfielder
24
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
Defender
27
28
31
Conor Walsh
Goalkeeper
St Patrick's Athl.
1
Danny Rogers
Goalkeeper
3
5
Tom Grivosti
Defender
9
15
18
28
Midfielder
42
Glory Nzingo
Midfielder
45
Mattthew O'Hara
Midfielder
Home PPG
0.50
Points per Game
Away PPG
1.33
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
2.04
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
0.96
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
3.00
Expected Goals
St Patrick's Athl.
Results
2
Matches
6
1
Wins
3
0
Draws
1
1
Losses
2
1.50
Points per Game
1.67
Goals
3
Goals Scored
9
4
Goals Conceded
9
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
100%
Over 1.5 %
67%
100%
Over 2.5 %
50%
50%
Over 3.5 %
50%
0%
Clean Sheet %
50%
Performance
34.0%
Avg Possession %
51.0%
4.0
Avg Shots on Target
3.8
3
Total Corners
37
1.5
Avg Corners
6.2
0
Total Cards
5
0.0
Avg Cards
0.8
Total Matches
2
Shelbourne
Total Matches
6
St Patrick's Athl.
Total Goals
3
Home
Total Goals
9
Away
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
Match: Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl. • Tolka Park • Season 2026 • Week 5
Odds snapshot: Shelbourne win 1.99 • Draw 3.20 • St Patrick's Athl. win 3.48 • BTTS Yes 1.98
Key trends to watch
Under 2.5 goals has occurred in 100% of their past meetings, making a tight 90 minutes the most data-supported angle.
Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.29, but the long-run pattern here sits with low-scoring clashes. Expect a cautious approach early.
BTTS Yes sits near 1.98 with a 50% historical rate between these sides—a reasonable value bet if both teams push the tempo.
Corners tend to run high in this fixture window. Over 7.5 corners is 1.36; average is around 9.5 per match, so a busy corner count is likely.
Shelbourne are projected to edge corners: “Shelbourne Has Most Corners In The Match” at 1.66; “both teams same amount” sits at 6.75, and St Patrick’s Athl. leading corners at 2.40—opt for Shelbourne to lead if you’re backing corners.
Double Chance: Shelbourne Win or Draw at 1.27 offers a safer route given their home factor, while St Patrick’s Athl. Win or Draw at 1.63 is riskier.
xG and scoring context
Shelbourne home xG listed near 2.04 per match; St Patrick’s away xG for about 1.16; combined, the bench is not hostile but not overwhelmingly prolific.
Past head-to-head total xG around 3.00 suggests a plausible 1-goal margin spread, aligning with a low-scoring but not zero-sum outcome.
Predictions & bets (succinct)
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - Shelbourne
1
Harry Wood
Forward
4
goals
2
John Martin
Forward
4
goals
3
Daniel Kelly
Midfielder
2
goals
Top Scorers - St Patrick's Athl.
1
Ryan Edmondson
Forward
4
goals
2
Romal Palmer
Midfielder
3
goals
Head-to-Head (Last 3)
16/10/2026
15:45
St Patrick's Athl.
15:45
07/08/2026
15:45
Shelbourne
15:45
15/05/2026
15:45
St Patrick's Athl.
15:45
⚡ Match Events
14'
James Roche
Shelbourne
43'
Rodrigo Costa Freitas
Shelbourne
56'
Ryan Edmondson
St Patrick's Athl.
61'
Ryan Edmondson
St Patrick's Athl.
72'
Harry Wood
Assist: Sam Bone
Shelbourne
72'
James Brown
St Patrick's Athl.
75'
John Martin
Shelbourne
89'
Sam Bone
Shelbourne
90'
Max Mata
Assist: James Brown
St Patrick's Athl.
90'
Maill Lundgren
Shelbourne
90'
Max Mata
St Patrick's Athl.
St Patrick's Athl.
Match Statistics
55
Possession (%)
45
55%
45%
18
Shots
18
50%
50%
8
Shots on Target
7
53%
47%
10
Shots off Target
11
48%
52%
5
Corners
6
45%
55%
7
Fouls
6
54%
46%
4
Yellow Cards
2
67%
33%
0
Red Cards
0
50%
50%
0
Offsides
3
0%
100%
55
Dangerous Attacks
59
48%
52%
124
Attacks
83
60%
40%
Possession
55%
-
45%
Shots on Target
8
-
7
Corners
5
-
6
Total Cards
6
(6 yellows,
0 reds)