BTTS (Both Teams to Score)
50%
Both teams to score
BTTS 1st Half
25%
Both to score in 1st half
BTTS 2nd Half
22%
Both to score in 2nd half
Goals - Over/Under
0.5 Goals
Over
93.0%
Under
7.0%
1.5 Goals
Over
71.0%
Under
29.0%
2.5 Goals
Over
36.0%
Under
64.0%
3.5 Goals
Over
11.0%
Under
90.0%
4.5 Goals
Under
100.0%
Goals by Half
Over 0.5 Goals 2H
68.0%
2nd half
Over 1.5 Goals 2H
32.0%
2nd half
Corners - Over/Under
Overall Corners Potential
9.8
expected corners
8.5 Corners
Over
65.0%
9.5 Corners
Over
50.0%
10.5 Corners
Over
40.0%
Cards - Over/Under
Overall Cards Potential
5.2
expected cards
Shots, Attacks & Offsides
Offsides Potential
2.2
expected offsides
Starting Line-ups
Spezia
5
Mattia Valoti
Midfielder
9
Midfielder
11
Pietro Beruatto
Defender
17
Leonardo Sernicola
Defender
22
Boris Radunović
Goalkeeper
25
Filippo Bandinelli
Midfielder
31
Giuseppe Aurelio
Defender
32
Luca Vignali
Defender
34
Cristian Comotto
Midfielder
60
Alessandro Gianni Romano
Midfielder
94
Giovanni Bonfanti
Defender
Monza
10
Patrick Cutrone
Forward
15
Filippo Delli Carri
Defender
19
Samuele Birindelli
Defender
20
Demba Thiam Ngagne
Goalkeeper
21
Leonardo Colombo
Midfielder
24
Adam Bakoune
Defender
28
Andrea Colpani
Midfielder
30
Giuseppe Caso
Forward
32
Matteo Pessina
Midfielder
37
Andrea Petagna
Forward
44
Andrea Carboni
Defender
Substitutes
Spezia
6
8
12
Diego Mascardi
Midfielder
16
Leonardo Loria
Goalkeeper
18
Gioele Conte
Forward
19
Hamse Shagaxle
Midfielder
24
Andrea Bertoncini
Defender
55
70
77
Emanuele Lorenzelli
Midfielder
Monza
1
Semuel Pizzignacco
Goalkeeper
2
3
8
11
Omari Forson
Forward
14
Pedro Mba Obiang Avomo
Midfielder
17
Keita Baldé Diao
Forward
25
26
Patrick Ciurria
Forward
27
Samuele Capolupo
Midfielder
47
52
Mathis Mout
Forward
Home PPG
1.07
Points per Game
Away PPG
1.67
Points per Game
Home xG Predicted
1.24
Expected Goals
Away xG Predicted
1.42
Expected Goals
Total xG Predicted
2.66
Expected Goals
Monza
Results
2
Matches
1
0
Wins
0
2
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
1.00
Points per Game
0.00
Goals
3
Goals Scored
0
3
Goals Conceded
1
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
0.00
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
Markets
-
BTTS %
-
100%
Over 1.5 %
0%
50%
Over 2.5 %
0%
50%
Over 3.5 %
0%
0%
Clean Sheet %
0%
Performance
53.0%
Avg Possession %
60.0%
5.0
Avg Shots on Target
2.0
9
Total Corners
2
4.5
Avg Corners
2.0
1
Total Cards
3
0.5
Avg Cards
3.0
Total Matches
2
Spezia
Total Matches
1
Monza
Total Goals
3
Home
Total Goals
0
Away
AI Analysis
Strategic insights generated by AI
Spezia host Monza at Stadio Alberto Picco in Week 29, with Monza as the slight favorite on the betting markets (1.91) and a 50% away-win rate to lean on. Spezia are stronger at home than their overall record would suggest, but their home win rate sits at 21% and their 1.24 xG for at home is matched by 1.31 xG conceded.
Head-to-head xG: 2.66 total on average for this pairing, above the pre-match league average of 2.11.
Defensive safety: Under 4.5 goals 100% historically; Under 3.5 goals 90% of matches; Under 2.5 goals 64% of the time.
Over/Under tendencies: Over 1.5 goals is common (71%), but Over 2.5 goals sits at 36% historically; Over 0.5 goals is almost guaranteed (93%).
BTTS: Yes 1.91; No 1.79 — both teams have a decent chance to score in this clash.
Corners: average around 9.78 per match; Over 7.5 corners at 1.25, Over 8.5 at 1.55, Over 9.5 at 1.85. Interesting edge: Monza is shown as having the most corners in a match (1.61) and Spezia as the “has most corners” mark (2.30).
Monza away xG: 1.42; xG against away: 1.35 — they travel with goal threat and a solid defensive bend.
Spezia at home xG: 1.24; xG against at home: 1.31 — a garden-variety home defense, not ironclad.
Prediction: Monza win. A tight, pragmatic outing with late moments likely to decide it. Scoreline vibe: 0-1 or 1-2. Confidence: medium.
Top bets to consider:
Monza to win — 1.91
BTTS Yes — 1.91
Over 2.5 goals — 2.15 (alternatively, Under 2.5 at 1.61 if you expect a defensive grind)
Double Chance: Monza Win or Draw — 1.23
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
Top Scorers - Spezia
1
Midfielder
11
goals
Top Scorers - Monza
No data available
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
02/11/2025
13:15
Monza
1
-
0
Home
⚡ Match Events
9'
Andrea Petagna
Assist: Patrick Cutrone
Monza
10'
Andrea Carboni
Monza
16'
Patrick Cutrone
Assist: Andrea Petagna
Monza
20'
Assist: Giuseppe Aurelio
Spezia
32'
Andrea Carboni
Monza
34'
Giuseppe Aurelio
Spezia
38'
Giuseppe Aurelio
Spezia
45'
Leonardo Sernicola
Spezia
57'
Filippo Bandinelli
Assist: Leonardo Sernicola
Spezia
63'
Spezia
72'
Lorenzo Lucchesi
Monza
90'
Assist: Leonardo Sernicola
Spezia
Monza
Match Statistics
51
Possession (%)
49
51%
49%
18
Shots
8
69%
31%
5
Shots on Target
5
50%
50%
13
Shots off Target
3
81%
19%
3
Corners
2
60%
40%
15
Fouls
14
52%
48%
3
Yellow Cards
2
60%
40%
0
Red Cards
1
0%
100%
3
Offsides
2
60%
40%
53
Dangerous Attacks
40
57%
43%
81
Attacks
87
48%
52%
Possession
51%
-
49%
Shots on Target
5
-
5
Corners
3
-
2
Total Cards
6
(5 yellows,
1 reds)