Juventude vs Novorizontino, Week 2 of the 2026 season. Status: incomplete. Kick-off: April 1. A home fixture for Juventude, who hold a strong home profile, against a Novorizontino side still finding rhythm away from home.
Key numbers at a glance
Juventude (home): win rate 83%; xG for 1.85; xG against 0.76 — evidence of a potent attack and solid defense at home.
Novorizontino (away): win rate 25%; xG for 0.94; xG against 1.09 — away form not favorable, defensively steadier than their scoring might suggest.
Match odds: Juventude 2.09; Draw 3.14; Novorizontino 3.62 — slight home edge priced in, with a cautious market stance.
Goal expectation: Under 2.5 goals 1.59; Under 3.5 1.22; Over 1.5 1.38; Over 2.5 2.29 — market suggests a tighter watch, fewer goals likely.
BTTS: Yes 1.97; No 1.75 — a modest tilt toward a clean sheet for one side, but not a slam dunk.
Corners: Over 7.5 1.19; Over 8.5 1.41; Over 9.5 1.67; Over 10.5 2.05 — a busier-than-average corners approach could emerge, though tallied lines vary by phase of play.
Angles to watch
Home control matters: Juventude’s attack advantage at home (xG 1.85) lines up with a defensively stingy 0.76 xG against, making a low-scoring win plausible.
Novorizontino’s away numbers flag resilience but not punch: expect them to sit tighter early and strike on counters if Juventude presses.
Prediction
Juventude to win, likely a narrow margin, with under 2.5 goals. Scoreline hedge: 1-0 or 2-0. BTTS leans No, given the defensive potential at home and the away side’s scoring gap.
Value bets
Juventude win or draw (Double Chance) at 1.33 offers cover with the home edge.
Under 2.5 goals at 1.59 aligns with the expected low-scoring dynamic.
Bottom line: home comfort vs a cautious away setup gives Juventude the seeking hand, with a grind likely until the late stages. A measured, low-scoring win feels the most probable path to three points.
This analysis was automatically generated based on statistical and historical team data.
